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PaperclipPerfector  3mo ago (text post)   34106 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of July 29, 2024

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I watch a lot of videos of street fights, and virtually none of them depict a female KO-ing a man in any context.

How many street fights involve seventy year old men, let alone a seventy year old man and a young woman?

How many street fights involve seventy year old men

Virtually zero! But not quite zero.

So my priors are not well informed on this but I still have priors.

So the speculation is fun! I have to consider a number of disparate data points and project outcomes into a realm of uncertainty and argue my case based on inductive logic and reasoning from whatever similar situations exist.

Virtually zero! But not quite zero.

The robber is not exactly "highly trained". It's pretty obvious that a highly trained woman would mug that guy no problem.

Look, I don't disagree that men have a big physical advantage vs women. But for the most part your supporting evidence equivocates between the actual scenario (barely trained 70 year old vs highly trained 25 year old) and various unrelated scenarios (70 year old prizefighter, 30 year old man, etc etc). Again, most 70 year olds are extremely fragile and have no chance against someone who knows what they are doing.

It's pretty obvious that a highly trained woman would mug that guy no problem.

Yeah, but he's also 77, and not 70. This is what I'm saying its almost impossible to find the perfectly analogous situation.

I wouldn't cede that 'most' 70 year olds are "extremely fragile." I feel like people tend to collapse most ages over 65 into "old as fuck" but I think there's ample evidence that real mental and physical frailty can be delayed into the later years.

Outside of a specific medical issue , that is.

Hah, I forgot one of the more famous incidents of a senior citizen involved in a beatdown: Epic Beard Guy, who was 67 during that incident (as far as I can tell) and left his male opponent with a broken nose.

Even if he's not a representative sample its more towards that point that they're not necessarily fragile at that age.

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