cjet79
Anarcho Capitalist on moral grounds
Libertarian Minarchist on economic grounds
User ID: 124
cjet79
26d ago
The writers and readers can all be true believers. The owner still has ultimate authority over them and chose to exercise it against their wishes.
That demonstrates the owner's authority, and their value as someone that needs to be traded favors to in the future.
I think the value of the WaPo paper is a bit of a writeoff in Bezos' mind. The value of AWS contracts with the government probably outweighs any profit the paper is making.
I'm 80-90% certain that Trump is going to win. I don't really know how to calculate Kelly bets. My betting pool is small anyways, probably no more than $100. I get no joy from gambling, so I'm not signed up for anything and would have some transaction costs involved with setting all that stuff up.
My form of backing up what I think is to make a public declaration on here and to people in person that I think a certain outcome is likely. If I'm wrong I'll be wrong. If someone wants to take the other side of the bet with me I'll trade in a few hours of factorio assistance on their factory vs assisting me if I win. Or I'll just change my profile flair to be something like [I was wrong about the election, USER was correct].
cjet79
26d ago
I mentioned it last week, but if you are going to sell yourself out, you should at least not do it cheaply.
Everyone seems to be jumping to Trump being the one to get benefits. But I think there is a much more mundane explanation: Kamala can't pay up.
If there is a bit of quid-pro-quo between newspapers and the democratic party, then the democrats can't necessarily do much back scratching if they are not in power.
And the newspapers don't want a reputation for always being willing to shill for the democrats. Its bad for both groups in that it lowers the credibility of them doing it in the future. But its also bad for the newspapers, because there is no reason to help out someone who is always going to help you.
Its noticeable that billionaire controlled newspapers are the ones not endorsing Kamala. The exact kind of people that would know how the game of favors is played, and have an interest in preserving the value of their own favors.
This also feeds into my increasing certainty that Trump has this election in the bag. I think the last time I felt this certain about an election was probably 2012 or 2008. Much of the election coverage has not been about trying to claim that the election is going to be fair, they are instead already replaying the post election 2016 stuff that Trump is a fascist. Basically the coverage they do when they want the government deep state machinery to act as a roadblock. If there was a lot of confidence in winning I think the media would be more focused on election integrity.
cjet79
27d ago
If any of the polling stations are compromised you can just directly add the fake votes there.
Adding fake votes greater than the number of registered people is risky. But if you know you have a bunch of leeway with registered voters that can't possibly vote ...
cjet79
27d ago
He is the host of the largest live podcast in the world. I could see the joke doing fine at his normal events.
cjet79
28d ago
Good description of the game. I've played it and would recommend it as well for anyone that likes the factory genre of games.
It is a bit all over the place in terms of focus. The city sim and exploration parts almost felt like separate games entirely. Or they just act as resource sinks for the main factory part of the game.
I think the best part of the game is the landscaping. I loved designing the mines into the ground with retaining walls to get a steeper slope. Flattening mountains to fill in the ocean was oddly satisfying, I usually would reserve some dirt for a later of top soil to make it all look nice and not so inconsistent.
I tended to play the game on the easiest settings, and also found a mod that increased the truck limit. So I removed most of the "challenge" of the game, but I found it more enjoyable that way.
cjet79
29d ago
I listen to a bunch of podcasts. Joe Rogan is probably in the top ten. But everyone above him that I listen to are also comedians and guys just shooting the shit. Matt and Shane's, Tim Dillon, Two bears one cave, Flagrant (which i think had trump too?), Stavy's world, etc.
I think I was more annoyed because I like listening to Joe Rogan. I tend to not like guests that speak over and monopolize the conversation. They are on the "Joe Rogan Experience", not the "Guests of Joe Rogan". The whole point of the podcast is that an everyday man is injected into this position of having a conversation with important, famous, and knowledgeable people. It ruins the ambiance to just talk over him.
Probably should have realized this would be my reaction. I couldn't watch much of his convention speech either. Got like 5 minutes in and quit.
I'm not saying this as someone that is very anti-trump. It would be nice to like trump. He appeals to some of my contrarian instincts. I just also have standards of entertainment. He talked about the apprentice a bit in the beginning as well. I was never interested in that show. Maybe its like many other fads, I'm just the wrong target audience. Whether the fad is MAGA or TDS, I'm just missing out. I don't get it.
cjet79
29d ago
I listen to podcasts all the time, including Joe Rogan's. I mainly listen to comedian podcasts. I think they tend to have the best economy of words. Even if they are idiots most of the time, they at least know how to tell a good story and make it entertaining.
cjet79
29d ago
I just said the other day I was feeling lukewarm on Trump. But now I'm feeling different. I thought the podcast was awful. Couldn't make it past ten minutes. I might have to try again now that people say the first hour was rough.
It was Trump rambling at its worst. Rogan asks about winning the race in 2016, and next thing I know Trump is talking about how Lincoln was melancholy instead of depressed, cuz his kid died.
Sometimes I feel I would love Trump if it weren't for Trump.
cjet79
30d ago
Would anyone like to join a group play through?
Right now its me @xablor and @Southkraut
Add me on Steam cjet799
cjet79
30d ago
I felt this way in 2016 and 2020.
I'm libertarian and have never really liked the main two parties.
Trump has oddly grown on me. It might just be my serial contrariasm. The constant hate thrown his way has made me more skeptical of all criticism about him. If they were willing to lie about him being a Russian spy than what else are they saying that is a lie?
His actual governing record was not bad from my perspective. No new wars, a slate of justices that flipped the court, and a government that was mostly focused on fights I didn't care about.
cjet79
1mo ago
Yarvin seems allergic to making minor nuanced claims. Go big or go home is his approach. It makes his writing more interesting, but also wrong more often.
I wonder what the reasons are for the LA times owner saying don't endorse Kamala. It could be that the owner likes Trump, but it could also be a more mundane business decision, like "neither of them has spent money advertising with us, and we shouldn't be a free whore".
cjet79
1mo ago
Being introverted is one of the things I'd gladly change about myself. That and disliking Broccoli (would make low carb diet way easier).
I don't think most introverts are very happy with it. It seems like a maladaptive trait for the modern world.
I suspect it is closer to something like left-handedness than it is to something like an accent that you can discard with a bit of practice.
cjet79
1mo ago
You are extroverted, some people you know are more extroverted than you.
Those people you talk to that suck at maintaining conversations ... probably introverts.
I think your argument proves too much. It sounds like it could be used to disprove any internal assessments.
cjet79
1mo ago
You sound like most extroverts I encounter. One of the most common aspects of extroverts is that they tend to not believe or accept that introverts exist.
Every introvert knows what they are and how they are different than extroverts. It takes them only the barest amount of observational skill.
There is a manifestation of physical discomfort in social situations. The closest comparison I can think of: imagine knowing that you stink from BO or poop, or your teeth are gross. Then further imagine you are stuck in close proximity to a person you are attracted to but barely know. I think most people's desire in this situation is an intense desire to leave and be unseen. You might even fear that other people are noticing or discussing your grossness. Nearby laughter can spike paranoia rather than joy.
That is what it can feel like when an introvert has overextended and stayed in a social situation past their leave time.
And when that is how nights tend to end even if you have fun for the first few hours it's not really something you look forward to. And eventually you either discover the magic of alcohol which I believe can switch people from introverts to extroverts, or you stop going to social events.
cjet79
1mo ago
Opposite experience for me. Seems obvious who are extroverts and introverts around me. People who sit in the middle seem more rare than the ones that exist at the extremes of the spectrum.
cjet79
1mo ago
Vidya
Factorio expansion releases next Monday. Hell ya. I think I still have the posts saved from last time of people that are interested in a playthrough. If anyone else is interested let me know here. I'll set up a server for joint play. You can add me on steam: cjet799
I've been having fun in the discord.gg/1stmi playing starship troopers extermination. I'm a corporal, which usually just means I'm expected to step up into squad lead positions, and I'm capable of shadowing someone who is trying out for a squad lead position. Next step is getting a platoon lead certification and then I'll be in charge of running 16 person ops. But also in charge of more paperwork and making sure people behave in a discord chat.
I did encounter my first recalcitrant trooper this past week. They were uninterested in taking orders, or only followed about half of what I said. At the end of the match I pulled them aside and just had a quick chat "hey man, if you don't want to follow orders that's fine, but there isn't much point being in this group if that's the case" he gave a bit of an apology and said he was tired. He seemed better the next day.
cjet79
1mo ago
I find that my anger is often very physiological. My heart rate is elevated, I'm pumping more adrenaline, by blood sugar is low from hunger, etc.
It helps me a lot to address the physical aspects of anger. Slow down my breathing to control my heart rate. Take a little walk like I'm warming down from exercise. Or just have a snack.
Even if it doesn't get at the underlying cause of my anger I'm at least a little better off at thinking logically and dealing with the problem.
cjet79
1mo ago
I said it up above, but ill have to say it again. I don't believe aliens are actively visiting earth. I guess I'm just around alien enthusiasts often enough that I know many of their arguments.
I originally responded when someone was asking "why don't they have an explanation for X". I then answered ... they do have an explanation for it. If we are going to get into how good the explanation actually is then I just want to stop, because I don't really think they are good explanations. I'm just saying the explanations and the answers are there.
At some point it is closer to a creative writing exercise for them. Making the most elaborate explanation for the presence of aliens while fitting all the available data. Asking them more in depth questions is not a path towards convincing them, its a path towards more fun for them because it adds on an additional challenge to the mass creative writing exercise they are all involved in.
cjet79
1mo ago
They offer quite a few reasons:
- If the Aliens are benevolent then nukes are the first time humans really have the chance to extinct ourselves.
- If the Aliens care about habitable worlds we could mess up one of their gardens.
- Nukes might be more noticeablr to casual observers.
- Maybe there are threshold technologies required for joining some galactic community, and nukes is a threshold.
Nukes are unique enough.
cjet79
1mo ago
Monopolies do not always charge maximum price. If one person wants a product at $100 but 20 people want it at $10, its better to charge $10 (as long as marginal costs aren't eating that additional $100 in revenue). Of course, that means you need more customers at a lower price. And I think Elon starting up Starlink is a sign that he lacks customers. I'm not sure where that leaves us.
cjet79
1mo ago
I meant instead of doing their normal reverse landings, but someone else answered, apparently its better for the engines, and a lighter payload overall.
cjet79
1mo ago
I thought it was cynical too before I worked in a think tank. After working in one, and interacting with others in it. Their response is somewhere along the lines of "not cynical enough". Some of them don't even think of the first one as a point of think tanks. They just see think tanks purely as extractive entities from rich people that don't know what to do with their money.
What you describe is happening to some degree. I just think it is a minority of the resource spending and allocation. If it is more than 10% you have a rock solid institution. Average is closer to 1%. And bad ones are some negative percentage, in that they spend resources from their ideology only to actively hurt and confuse the cause they care about. PETA is an example of that.
I've done one before, forget which one. Did a bit of research on them beforehand.
They basically emailed a bunch of places and requested that my name and personal data be removed.
Not sure what effect it had if any. I still get the occasional spam call.
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