Felagund
2mo ago
Okay, so what does solve the allais paradox mean in this case? What's the benefit of this? Am I right in reading you as saying that it continues to be the case that agents violate the axioms of expected utility in the Allais case, but that you can still use those preferences and transform them into a non-violating utility function that uses the agent's preferences to make it, but is not actually representative of the agent?
Felagund
2mo ago
I think some of this is also that you didn't really give a thorough explanation, but just an overview. At least, that's what's going on in my case. I'd otherwise be pretty interested.
Felagund
2mo ago
Covering women's areolas and nipples has been used as a work around for women going topless, leading me to believe those are the areas of primary concern when people talk about bras and modesty.
Perhaps others will disagree, but I'm not actually convinced that that's true. I think it might be more of people having modesty norms that allow for part of the breasts to be uncovered, and that's the easiest way to draw a line, rather than being what is relevant in itself.
I don't really have opinions on what effect bras have on modesty.
Felagund
2mo ago
The 17th amendment, and the turn to the popular vote for president, were mistakes.
Felagund
2mo ago
Somehow Harris has a degree in economics, and, as an undergrad, chaired the college's economics society (per wikipedia)?
Felagund
2mo ago
We really need to teach all this in schools. Sure, two thirds of the people will forget it all, but it would be really useful if that additional third of people exists.
Felagund
2mo ago
Waymo exists, and Tesla's tech is pretty advanced, I believe. I wonder how much of why we haven't seen it much yet is fear of heavy lawsuits and regulation.
Felagund
2mo ago
I wonder how this will interact with population effects. Birth rates are below replacement and falling (though thankfully not as much as in some other places), which if that were the only effect, would mean that demand for residential housing should be decreasing. That hasn't been happening, because of other factors: increasing lifespans, a lower person:household ratio, and immigration. But we shouldn't expect that to continue, except maybe immigration—otherwise housing values will start falling as the population declines. So we can't expect houses to be a permanently appreciating asset (adjusting for inflation), without changes to society, or immigration.
Felagund
2mo ago
I mostly have hope in the legal structure and republican opposition stopping the craziest parts of this slide into a leftist dystopia. Of course they have to spend political effort and will to stop these things, and while they are busy stopping things from getting worse things certainly aren't going to get better.
26% chance of a dem trifecta following this election. Let's hope Sheehy pulls through in Montana.
Felagund
2mo ago
I think it's more just that it's not a conceivable possibility—surely my kid won't be the one thinking they're the other gender? Right? They're reasonable enough?
Felagund
2mo ago
What I find interesting is that, as best as I can tell, MTF trans people are more prominent than FTM ones, though I've heard that FTM is more common,
I haven't actually seen stats I trust, but the brief amount of looking I've done seems to suggest that there used to be more MTF, but that might not be true anymore, or is at least less true.
Felagund
2mo ago
Bohemia (following Wycliffe) had already realized a bunch of the problems with papal teachings and practices, prior to the invention of the printing press.
The printing press merely allowed it to be scaled up.
Felagund
2mo ago
I'm actually not sure of that. That would be pretty disappointing if it turns out that Kagan is only pretending to care about free speech.
Felagund
2mo ago
At the same time, the failure seems to illustrate that the Republican congressmen don't just always go along with everything.
Felagund
2mo ago
Nothing stops you. But a loyal enough congress is a pretty big stipulation, especially when Republicans disproportionately seem to care about what the text of the Constitution actually says, and are used to having to worry about how things look for the purpose of reelection.
We really need a constitutional amendment safeguarding the supreme court, as that would make the particular avenue you describe significantly harder to pull off.
Felagund
2mo ago
I am not an American, but I think one has to register as Democrat or Republican to be able to vote in the primaries?
Depends on the state. I think all three of:
- anyone can vote in either primary,
- independents can choose which primary to vote in (else, you're stuck with your own),
- and you can only vote with your own,
exist in different states.
I'm sure some people change their registrations to the opposing party for the sake of primaries, but that is probably fairly uncommon.
Felagund
2mo ago
It didn't look like it was the wrong comment to me?
Well, that's seems a little silly. It shouldn't depend on patristic interpretations. Setting aside that they disagree with each other on things all the time (And then what. Pick your favorites?), that would imply that the status of whether they were laws was up in the air until some subsequent fathers wrote down their opinions and everyone decided to accept them as fathers. No, rather, whether the laws retain their force post-Christ objectively follows from the nature of the laws, and patristic interpretations could maybe provide some guidance as to what was already the case. But I'm perfectly willing to affirm that we have developed a more thorough grasp of things than was understood by many of the fathers.
At least, that is the take of this Protestant.
(And, seriously, dealing with laws, covenants, etc. is one field that Protestants put significantly more work into developing than did any of their predecessors. There is far more than I know. Maybe I'll get to reading some more Witsius or (J. H.) Heidegger or something some day.)
Felagund
3mo ago
The motivations are different. One doesn't really care all that much about details, as long as the point is gotten across. The other is perfectly willing to mislead about the overall point, as long as it's defensible in the details. When a lot of people are judging and making decisions based on the overall thrust of what's going on, not details, one is far more deceptive on a practical, who-aligns-with-me-more (and so I should vote for them) level.
It seems to me like a lot of people care more about overall alignment than details. (This is not at all to say that details aren't important.)
Felagund
3mo ago
Several of the members of the Supreme Court try pretty hard to just call balls and strikes.
Felagund
3mo ago
He fired a lot of Twitter people and it mostly still works, but I can't see shit without logging in and that smells like a load shedding strategy to me.
I wonder if it was also to try to get people to get an account, instead of merely lurking? That would raise engagement with the platform. (I know people who have done so, though I've stubbornly stuck to what's left of nitter for now.)
This surely can't be entirely true. It would be quite surprising if there were zero or negative returns to ingenuity and assiduousness.
I could certainly believe that that was often the case, though.
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