cjet79
Anarcho Capitalist on moral grounds
Libertarian Minarchist on economic grounds
User ID: 124
cjet79
6hr ago
Your best chances are to utilize your specific characteristics to be relevant to a specific case that might come before the supreme court.
I have a friend that is a historian. His focus was on the 1800s. He wrote a book on Lincoln. He has relevant knowledge of 1800s trade policy. But he is one of the few people with that specialty. So when tariff stuff came up he was one of the few relevant authorities on the topic.
He was suddenly meeting with pence and others to oppose trump tariffs at the supreme court. Felt very big, might be like the dream you have.
cjet79
7hr ago
Captains of industry, playing an island map. Tried a mod to make things easier by increasing truck capacity but it backfired and the trucks stopped emptying my smallest storage things. Went back to zero mods.
Starship troopers extermination. The group I'm in has been low on participation for the hours I can actually play, which is frustrating. But I have had a few opportunities toead 16 person groups, it's always extremely fun. If anyone is willing to join and try you get special "recruit" status for your first official op and if I brought you in more chances I can be your squad lead or platoon lead.
cjet79
11hr ago
Benefit of the doubt also goes to the swimmer. So maximum strictness if caught, but chances of being caught for non blatant rule violations is low.
The easiest one to catch is no two hand touch and that's also very easy to comply with.
cjet79
13hr ago
Confidence can only be attained by studying the rules, attending training sessions and working regularly at meets
this does feel like something that might be in a turn of the century advice or manners pamphlet.
cjet79
13hr ago
Most common stroke infractions do give you somewhat of an advantage, or they at least just totally change what even you are doing. Most kids' freestyle or crawl stroke is about twice as fast as their butterfly. The time penalties would have to be massive to make up for it. DQs above age thirteen are also pretty rare, so its clear that most kids can learn the strokes and the rules sufficiently to rarely DQ.
It is also somewhat hard to catch minor one time stroke infractions. If I glance over and think I saw an infraction and I describe any level of uncertainty then the Pool Ref will throw out the DQ. Usually stroke related problems are hard to see if they only happen once. Its usually that the kid is doing it wrong the entire time they are in my zone. I felt bad for the girl that did crawl during butterfly because I happened to be looking at her lane right as she did it. She had a 75% chance of being fine, but lost out on that cuz of bad luck.
One example is that you are allowed only two underwater pulls in breastroke off the wall before you are supposed to surface. I saw a kid do three, and that was after I missed him for about 5 meters off the wall. My estimate is that he actually did 4 or maybe even 5 underwater pulls. But I only reported seeing three because that is all I saw, even if I know via simple reasoning that he likely did 4 or 5. In his case if he had merely done three underwater pulls, which is illegal, I likely would not have caught him, because I would have only seen two of his pulls.
cjet79
18hr ago
One of my kids is doing summer swim. As a parent you have to volunteer at the swim meets if your kid is swimming in them. I found out before hand that certain positions count double when you volunteer. So I'd only need to volunteer every other swim meet that my kid is in. The position I got is "stroke and turn" judge. Basically I have to monitor the swimmers and make sure they are doing all legal strokes, turns, and finishes. I shadowed someone at the saturday meet, and then at the monday meet I was on my own.
Ya'll I DQed so many kids. At least 20 if I had to guess. Almost entirely on breastroke and butterfly events.
Afterwards I was thinking that @ToaKraka might appreciate the pedantic nature of the rules(pdf).
One of the interesting aspects of the judging is that you are supposed to give an equal amount of attention to all swimmers. Usually there are 4 lanes to watch for each judge. Which means each swimmer is getting 25% of your attention. Where it gets interesting is that sometimes events are not full. So you might only have 1 swimmer to watch in your 4 lanes. You are not supposed to just watch that single swimmer. They are still supposed to get 25% of your attention. I was standing there plenty of times just watching 3 empty lanes for 75% of the race.
The swimmer I felt the worst for was a girl doing butterfly, but she must have forgotten that for a half second and came up off the dive doing freestyle (or crawl as its sometimes called), it basically violated all the stroke rules for butterfly.
I had the largest number of simultaneous DQs when three of the four lanes I was watching for breastroke were doing a fully extended arm pull (instead of bring the arms back forward before they passed the hip line.) Then two of them also failed to touch the wall with both hands. It was a frantic minute of filling out forms after that race.
That is another thing, the whole meet basically moves at the pace we do. They won't start the next race until we are done filling out our disqualification slips and are ready to watch the pool again.
cjet79
1d ago
Sounds like most gun control legislation I guess, designed to be maximally annoying for law abiding citizens and completely ineffective against criminals.
Easy ways around this:
Use the US postal service, use email, or any other data sharing service that doesn't read all the content it's sharing.
cjet79
2d ago
Well done. I'm heavily on the side of New York not violating the first or second amendment, but this issue feels exhausting. Democrat ruled states seem to have adopted the gish gallop approach to law on gun control, just keep throwing things at the opponents until they throw up their arms and give up or leave.
I'm curious what happens in the situation where someone buys a 3d printer in Texas or Canada and then moves and takes their jail broken 3d printer to New York? Is it the manufacturer that is still in trouble, or the individual bringing the printer?
cjet79
2d ago
This is a significant part of why I like and enforce the low effort posts rule. The discussion would always be better off starting with what you have here.
cjet79
2d ago
Ah my bad, I misunderstood what vibecamp is. Thought it was EA oriented, not just random event.
In that case carry on for EAs but personal reputation for people that attend still applies.
cjet79
2d ago
It doesn't have to be a shaming campaign, an in person or on twitter convo of "ya this is weird please keep it separate from EA stuff" would be sufficient.
Or they can wait for something to hit the courts when someone sues or some DA sees an opportunity to rack up easy child sexual assault charges. I'm sure the PR for that will do plenty to hurt the EA cause.
cjet79
3d ago
Yes I already have to worry about that enough through standard life misunderstandings, I don't need to add to it.
Also if you were just at the event with a sex tent and that fact gets blasted onto every news channel, are you comfortable explaining to all of your friends and family your presence at the event?
They are actively filtering out normies.
cjet79
3d ago
It's not that they are failing to start a cult, or run a charity MLM scheme. It's that they are turning off people like me who are fully sympathetic to the idea by being weirdos that I don't want to associate with. And if this makes you think something like "well do you even care that much about EA if you aren't willing to tolerate some weirdness" and the answer is no I don't really care about it that much. I have other ideologies I'd rather spend my weirdness points on.
When my main exposure to EA stuff was through Scott Alexander I was so on board I was basically calling myself an EA. And then I learn stuff like this and it has me noping backwards as fast as I can.
They aren't failing to trick normies who are against the values into being EAs. They are failing to convince normies who are lukewarm or even positively disposed into being EAs. And I totally fail to see how having a weird sex tent and nudist colony next to a playground is necessary for EA to be all the things that make it EA.
cjet79
3d ago
I believe you, but those ordinary EAs should probably be siding with Thomas and trying to police their weirdest members.
cjet79
3d ago
Is exposing yourself to a minor not a crime in the location they are holding it?
If it is a crime then they are being very dumb. It would be an easy way for a DA that doesn't like them to basically round up all the nudists and event organizers and get them all labelled as sex offenders and put on the list. And being on the list will fuck up their lives so badly. But hey maybe if they have a sex tent at their event they just like getting bent over and having things rammed up their ass all the time.
I'd personally avoid this event like the plague.
In general I think people are allowed and encouraged to have some number of weirdness points. They can have weird beliefs, pets, sex lives, religion, activities, etc. Normal people are weird in one or a few ways, weird people are weird in many ways. If you want to be weird that's fine. But if you have ideological beliefs you want other people to adopt you must be a normal person. You basically use up your weirdness points on your ideology, and any weirdness beyond that is just doing harm to the cause of selling your ideology.
EA and rat sphere seems filled with people that want to be weird. Which makes the "effective" part seem like a lie. Lots of charity involves convincing normies to give you money, and they basically suck at that. They are claiming all the weird people though, so maybe that is them just serving a market niche that no one else was serving well. They don't seem to have the awareness that this is what they are doing.
I am a huge nerd compared to most people around me, but hearing about these people's antics always makes me feel like a bully jock that wants to humiliate the socially incompetent nerds for shits and giggles. I dislike that feeling, I wish they'd stop being weird people.
cjet79
3d ago
I think that goes too far.
There are some cultural issues where I do believe the government exerts significant cultural force.
It tends to be on issues that question the legitimacy of the state, the tax apparatus, and democracy itself.
But there is plenty of cultural leeway on things they don't care much about. And there are things they sort of care about where they exert some minor pressure.
I think natalist stuff is something they sort of care about. They prefer you having kids that go to government schools and drink the cool aid of system indoctrination. Homeschoolers fought an uphill battle, but have mostly been slowly winning in a bunch of states.
Child tax credits didn't have any major detractors. "Pro choice" doesn't call themselves pro abortion or anti natalist.
I just don't think the model of natalist culture as a government defended cultural view is accurate.
cjet79
3d ago
It seems backwards to me that you think cultural changes are harder to implement than policy changes. Its a form of Democracy propaganda that I see often enough that its worth addressing.
Changing culture is hard and slow, it involves talking to a lot of people, convincing them, having role models to hold up who are paragons of the change you want. If you are pushing against specific incentives or people then they will try to reverse the cultural changes you are making.
How do you get a democratically elected government to change policy? You have to change base cultural desires of the people so that they change their voting habits often and consistently enough. And you need to tailor the policy to make it survive through whatever political process exists in the country.
Cultural change also has the benefit of snowballing effects. If you have some good ideas and good culture it self advertises as it spreads. Democracy requires a minimum 50%+1 starting point. So good ideas and terrible ideas have somewhat equal chances to getting implemented.
cjet79
4d ago
It honestly doesn't seem like internet companies have good moat options anymore. A platform moat exists for all the current platforms. Creating a new platform moat usually means you need to take space from some of the existing platform. Alphabet seems to attempt to make a new platform every time they get a chance. They suck at it and abandon the ones that fail pretty quickly, but it is guaranteed minimum competition. Anything social media related is likely to be bought up by facebook. Anything shopping related is likely to be bought up by amazon (or at least have them move in on your space). Chat and video platforms both had to compete with microsoft. AIs have zero moat, with people happy to switch between them and use whichever is cheapest or best. They almost have an anti-moat, because quite a few AIs degrade in quality as the context window increases. Since the business model is tokens, consumers are better off spreading their token usage as far and wide as possible.
If AI gets better at helping programming projects, then the cost to copy other successful software platforms goes down. Which further decreases the moat software related incumbents.
And don't forget real world things can have moats too! North America has at least two moats that aren't going away anytime soon, the Atlantic and Pacific. There have been lots of court battles over Trump's tariffs, but they might become part of the republican platform in the future. That might only stop foreign competitors, but there is a real difficulty in spinning up brand new manufacturing areas. A much higher difficulty then spinning up a new internet business company.
cjet79
4d ago
I agree that there is no such thing as appeasement for the each the rich types. There are enough marxists that I've met in real life that seem to want CEOs and the wealthy lined up against a wall and shot. Their idea of "compromise" is to simply confiscate all their wealth and imprison them for the rest of their lives in some Siberian equivalent work encampment. These people were joyous to hear about the United Health Care CEO being gunned down in the street. They were also joyous to hear that it had made other CEOs worried for their lives.
The only people like this that I have seen mellow out got married, had kids, and held down a good solid career for a decade. Which obviously has nothing to do with the policies they espoused, but it was never about policies in the first place. Its gripes about their life situation disguised as a policy gripe. And just like you can't reason someone out of position they didn't reason themselves into, you can't appease a life situation gripe with their claimed policy solution.
cjet79
4d ago
The spacex IPO has happened and made Elon Musk a Trillionaire.
There are probably hundreds of potential topics from this story, feel free to go off on your own tangents.
What I am interested in is that this is a company that is building real world things, and not fake internet shit. It feels like a lot of new wealth and investment in America comes from and is directed to the internet. I think one of the main reasons has been that large investors are generally play-it-safe followers. They see which companies are newly striking it rich: Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google, Apple, etc. And they are happy to invest in copy-cats.
I'm hoping the spacex IPO has a similar effect. That investors start chasing new copy cats. But this time copy-cats of spacex rather than copy cats of facebook or google.
cjet79
6d ago
I'd be happy to do writeups of underwater hockey practices, which simply doesn't have enough players to get beyond rec league performance. Not sure if you genuinely interested, or just making a point.
cjet79
8d ago
given the model of infidelity as driven by availability.
My model of some cheating is that its an easy way for people to initiate a breakup. Especially for young people. It was done to me by two different girlfriends, and two other girlfriends didn't accept my reasons for breaking up with them. I had to just persistently say "its over", and looking back on those instances it would have been easier to just tell them I cheated on them to get them to hate me.
cjet79
8d ago
Getting caught cheating is the coward's method of initiating a breakup. Especially during teenage years and early 20's.
I had two girlfriends cheat on me during that time, both readily admitted it and then didn't seem too upset when I broke up with them.
Single instances of infidelity are almost impossible to catch, and prolonged affairs are almost impossible to hide. Hiding is so difficult because humans are gossips and great at sniffing out who's fucking whom. Even if the affected partner doesn't figure it out, someone in their ~50-200 person social circle is likely to catch on. Way more likely if the "homewrecker" is in an overlapping social circle.
Big obvious takeaway from survey is that cheating is a common experience. Which is relevant to the original discussion about why Mr Brightside was popular.
cjet79
9d ago
Finally over the awful ear infection I had last week.
It was either the worst or second worst sickness in my life. It was like a constant 6/10 pain with spikes up to an 8 or 9. Tylenol and Advil barely did anything. Or maybe they were the only things keeping me from an even worse experience.
It mentally wore me down and I broke. Was a whimpering mess for an hour, before I pulled myself together enough to go to the ER in the middle of the night.
For sure, I think breastroke is easier to DQ, but butterfly is harder to physically accomplish.
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