ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
No bio...
User ID: 626
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
3hr ago
Yes, if only they had a twitter feed more appealing to leftwingers, these blue states would surely flip red.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
16hr ago
For all your whining about Jews enacting the Great Replacement of the White race, I would wager that orders of magnitude more have fled from Kiev to the safety of London to escape the war than have fled from London to Kiev to escape the Great Replacement.
Does that actually prove one is less likely to result in the end of a nation than the other?
If you listen to Tesla's earning's calls prior to it's launch, it was supposed to be their "best product ever", they haven't mentioned them a single time in quite a while, and the last time I remember he referred to it as "digging our own grave" with it.
EDIT: Musk was saying they're aiming for 200K sales annually, it looks like they're at ~60K total.
When you accused RandomRanger of "shifting the goalposts" was that an honest concern of yours?
Yes.
I never said a word about Tesla.
I know, it's called analogy. It meant to illustrate the fact that just because you reached a milestone before your competitors, doesn't mean you will forever stay ahead of them.
I'm curious about when you think Tesla's competition was a decade behind Tesla,
I dunno, I suppose when BYD first launched and Elon responded by maniacally laughing, but not having much of an argument for why they're bad.
but mostly I'm just going to assume that you're shifting to Tesla because, when in the grip of Musk hate, all his companies look alike?
Well, I do think that different companies managed by the same man are likely to suffer from the same management flaws. I don't think that's unreasonable.
I also don't hate Elon. I told you multiple times that I'd much prefer a world where I'm completely wrong about him. He's supporting most of the causes I support as well, and it would be a lot better fornmenif he proves to be a genius and vindicates ball these causes by proxy, rather than a hype peddler who's about to run out of luck and drag down all these causes with him.
I suppose I do get mildly annoyed that criticizing him inevitably summons fanboys acting like someone just murdered their dog.
Not a hyperbole decade, a look-at-the-calendar-and-subtract decade. RocketLab is trying, and with luck they'll succeed with the first Neutron flight next year and they'll only be 11 years behind.
This argument only makes sense if they managed to maintain the distance over those 11 years, and I'm that instead of doing that, they're sinking their advantage into boondoggle called Starship (which is when comparing SpaceX to Musk's other companies comes in handy, because the man really seems to like boondoggles). Starship is not going to the moon, it's definitely not going to Mars, it might end up doing it's LEO Pez-dispenser bit, but even that is not certain, and it's an open question if it does so in a cost-effective way.
Ideally we'd have a second homegrown SpaceX, but we don't, and until we do they're both metaphorically and literally carrying us.
No amount of SpaceX is going to help you, if what they're doing is retarded. You're not going to the moon with something that requires over a dozen refuellings, a space station that makes you wait a week if you miss a rendezvous, and a lander that is so tall it needs an elevator and lots of prayers to not tip over.
Not all of that is on SpaceX, but if they're so brilliant they should have raise some objections to the idea.
I am non-ironically excited for the possibility that Blue Origin's upcoming second attempt to accomplish a booster landing is about to succeed. It's unlikely to have any more significant delays (we're just a few days out from the first launch window), and so long as it has no delays worse than have already occurred, their landing attempt will come slightly before the ten year anniversary of SpaceX accomplishing the same. It is awesome that the leading team among SpaceX's most serious long-term competition may now be less than a decade behind them!
Uh-huh. How did the competition "being behind" Tesla detract from Cybertruck, Semi, Robotaxi, FSD, and Optimus being dumpster fires, and the Chinese offering as good or better cars for cheaper? How does "being ahead" supposed to magically help Starship?
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
Do you assume women's prisons are meaningfully less violent than men's prisons?
Yes, and even if they weren't they can't do as much damage as a man, even on hormones.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
Most of his launches are in-house for Starlink, and it's not clear Starlink's model is sustainable. His competition is slowly catching up to him, and much like with Tesla, his ideas to stay ahead are not panning out, to put it mildly. I'm pretty sure the trajectory of the two companies will be the same.
Also, you're shifting the goalposts. Your original argument was that it's not a big deal that Starship is delayed, and I gave an argument for why it is. Looping back to "but look at all the cool things that they did with Falcon" is irrelevant. This is the typical cycle of the conversations about Elon: use hype about the future to claim he's amazing, then claim the past should already be enough for you, when someone questions the claims about the future.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
I am not saying "Elon can do no wrong". I am saying "Elon is our only hope".
What I said was that there was a time when people were acting like he could do no wrong, and at that time claims like "he's our only hope" would be somewhat understandable, they're not anymore. Not only is he not our only hope, right now he's the limiting factor. Any of the competing landers would have had a better chance of success, and the way things stand right now, they might still succeeding over Starship.
To be fair, it's it's not just Elon's fault, there were very odd things going on at NASA when the decision was made to go with him, but no, "Elon succeeds or nobody does" are not the only two options.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
If anything, Elon Musk is the only person who is preventing this outcome - if not Musk, it would be correct to conclude that the race is definitely lost and it's just a matter of time before the structural collapse reveals itself in a way that is obvious to the public
Yeah, no that's crazy. Nothing about the mission architecture of going to th moon with Starship can be reasonably described as preventing this outcome. 10 years ago, when nearly everybody thought that Elon can do no wrong, I could at least understand the belief that he'll conjure something out of thin air to solve all the problems that are plain to see right from the drawing board, but nowadays, after seeing how Hyperloop, "Full Self-Driving", Cybercab, Robotaxi, and Optimus are turning out, I'd hope people would be a bit more skeptical of him.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
One can argue that losing the space race had been beneficial, serving as a wake up call that stimulated increased interest in space technology in particular and science and technology in general.
If the argument for Elon Musk's brilliance is supposed to be that he will make you lose the space race and serve as a wake up call, then all I have to say is that you're getting ripped off. I can make you lose the space race for a fraction of his price!
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
1d ago
Starship is mostly funded by SpaceX too, so it's not like its a big deal if there are delays.
Losing the Space Race Boogaloo to China seems like a fairly big deal.
They unironically proposed building a space station near the moon to make up for this, make the moon mission even more complicated and expensive.
Not a very good argument in terms of "non-Musk space companies being a dumpster fire", as he unironically proposed having a dozen or two of orbital refuellings in order to send a single rocket to the moon, which they don't even know if they can do. Using Starship as a lander doesn't strike me as particularly sane either.
There are definitely people too invested in painting him as a clown, and I will further say they're almost certainly doing so for political reasons, but he's also definitely overhyped.
Actual British nationals, or the kind of British nationals that have very British names like Muhammad?
EDIT:
Ah, here we go:
There are two men in police custody.
They are a 32-year-old black British male and 35-year-old British national of Caribbean descent.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
2d ago
It has nothing to do with Scott, they were literally paying $7000 per post to influencers.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
4d ago
If socmed metrics are anything to go by, drama sells. Also mainstream companies have proven time and again they will pick ideology over profit.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5d ago
Christ, what a wanker.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5d ago
discussion with him and Alex of a then ongoing psy-op to convince people that the "ok sign" was a white-nationalist dog whistle. The two of them thought it was hilarious that they had helped get some truck-driver fired over it.
The whole story is very odd, but this stood out. How did they contribute to it exactly? Was there a 4chan campaign to email the guy's employer that I haven't heard about? Because if not I find it bizarre they'd even see themselves as contributing to the guy's firing.
Scott Alexander was wrong. The natural end state of liberal discourse is not "seven zillion Witches and three Principled Libertarians" it is "seven zillion Witches and zero Principled Libertarians" because all the libertarians have been shouted down, driven off, or banned, for refusing to compromise on one point or another.
You're both wrong. There is no natural state of liberal discourse, and liberalism's obsession with pretending that it's merely riding natural tides rather then shaping them, is exactly why it's taking such a beating of late.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5d ago
If the dude that got knocked for cracking his knuckles while driving a van somehow managed to become known, discriminated upon HVAC technicians should manage to bubble up as well. "It's totally happening in a completely symmetrical way, it's just that one side's cancellations are somehow cmpletely invisible" is not very compelling.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5d ago
That's a pretty common view where I'm from, but I thought Americans see it different. In any case this sort of "taking matters into your own hands" / bottom-up self organization for the benefit of your community, is somethingbI always admired about Americans. Would be sad if youblet thatvpart of your culture go.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5d ago
Can we please stop the endless repetition of "it's just a couple of crazy kids on the internet" meme? What would have to happen at this point for you to admit you're wrong?
Protesting is well within their rights, and arguably their obligations as citizens, so I would buy it from them to that extent.
I don't think that argument justifies rioting, looting, and chasing down a guy running towards the police. This I wouldn't buy from them, but I'm not seeing the similarity to Rittenhouse.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5d ago
Or alternatively, how many of them really believe their talking points are so obvious to reasonable people that they just can't be disagreed with if explicitly stated.
How is that an alternative?
HVAC techs will do the same thing in the opposite direction.
Please, shower me with stories of people getting fired from their dream HVAC technician job for being insufficiently chud. Note: quitting because you don't like the chuds or they don't like you, doesn't count.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5d ago
wasn't exactly anti-Motte
Eh... the name he picked has implications. Also, even when he was posting here, he was trying to scoop people away towards his hangouts. I've also see an exchange between him and gattsuru, where he used gattsuru's tolerance of the Motte as a mark against his character.
Zero personal connection.
His father lives there, and he works there, IIRC.
ArjinFerman
Tinfoil Gigachad
5d ago
Back when I was young and innocent I'd ask "...w ...why can't you deport them for being terrorists?", but after the seven zillionth undeported child rapist in Europe, I might need to sit this one out.
Flipping a red state blue might prove some sort if apoint, comparing voting percentages of local politicians to national ones feels quite silly.
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