Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.
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I think Ive played to much civ, but wouldnt it be a complete power move from China to intervene heavily and ensure a semi-vassal regime comes to power including rights to build navy bases and ports at the indian ocean and rail connections to china? It would have major impact on their situation if they could avoid the straight of Malaca and the island chains around them. Seems that in the current situation it would be an easy sell to intervene/heavily support some faction under a humanitarian pretext, and hard to see what the west could do. Maybe India going bonkers is the consideration? Maybe someone that knows more about the situation can answer?
Wikipedia suggests that, along with Russia, they’re the main suppliers for junta forces. Chinese support for rebel factions was the exception rather than the rule.
On the other hand, China has been pulling Myanmar into Belt and Road since before the coup.
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