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PaperclipPerfector  10mo ago (text post)   1761 thread views

Transnational Thursday for January 4, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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Venezuela meanwhile has started hosting military drills of over 5000 soldiers, possibly implying that the whole annexing-Guyana thing wasn’t just to get the people going.

If there’s any lesson to learn from the Ukraine war, it’s that 5000 soldiers in a war between second world countries isn’t enough to secure a football field. This raises my estimates of it being saber rattling significantly.

If it was 500,000 troops I’d be worried, but I don’t think even Maduro is dumb enough to try anything with less than that.

In fairness it’s more than double Guyana’s whole military, but agreed it likely won’t turn into anything real.

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