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Notes -
I was thinking of making another top level post on this, but to not spam the top with trans issues, I'll just leave a note here.
The issue with your portrayal isn't so much that it's accusing the other side of motte-and-bailey, as it's that it's portraying the motte as conceding the validity of the transgender care framework. The "reasonable motte" isn't "I wish they waited a few years to be sure", it's "there are serious questions about the scientific and ethical validity of both the theory and practice behind transgender healthcare", and the bailey was something to the effect of "this is all absolute pseudoscientific garbage". The issue that is coming up now is that the bailey looks more and more defensible.
I'm not particularly interested in debating the history of the discourse with you, but if you want to explicitly reject either the motte or they bailey now, that could be helpful in the future.
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