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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 1, 2024

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I think this is a really bad model of what motivates a lot of transitioners, especially younger ones. You're a lot more likely to see stuff redirect into enby or dissolve-the-gender-binary, in the unlikely case 'classical' gender transition gets depopularized. Far too much of modern culture is built around telling everyone to hate masculinity and women to fear their vulnerability in their femininity.

((That said, I recognize I'm a lot more sympathetic to trans stuff than the average person.))

Maybe, but enbyizm will only get you so far. You might get gimmicks like enby bathrooms in progressive spaces, but the trans issue crosses too many boundaries that people won't back down from. Enbies won't give you males in women prisons, sports, etc.,or Trans Women Are Women.

Some people pointed out that the whole trans thing is just a subculture like Goth, except it also involves permanent body modifications. Non-medicalized enbyizm will be literally just another subculture.

A lot of enbys medicalize to a extent I expect you or the median social conservative would not be comfortable with, and have for longer than enby has been well-recognized as a term. Literally today in my tumblr feed discourse for a ratsphere example. And while it would be a 'retreat' on some matters to some extent, I'm not sure it's as big a retreat as you'd think.

There's a tendency to round the more obnoxious nonbinary people into more standardized trans categories (including legal and statistical measures!), and to round the less obnoxious trans people into the nonbinary category, but there's a lot going on in those communities that isn't obvious to outside observers.

Well, I agree this would turn a victory into a hollow one, but I don't see that particular scenario working out. I think it's more likely I'm straightforwardly wrong, and the trans movement wins. "We were wrong about transing kids into men/women, but now we know better! The Science clearly shows we should have been turning them into Nullos instead!" feels way too out there.