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PaperclipPerfector  10mo ago (text post)   25102 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of December 25, 2023

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Regarding your last period, I agree, and I think it is noteworthy to say that the "no enemies to the Right" works way less for the Right than the Marcusian "no enemies to the Left" works for the Left. No amount of red terrorism, entrenching with Stalinism and Maoism, online furry and trans communities and femcel feminism has been enough to damage the left-brand among the western upper-class.

At least in the Anglosphere, and excepting the relatively minor Weather Underground type stuff in the 70s, there hasn’t really been a major wave of far left terrorism in over a century. No Anglo country has ever come even remotely close to falling to full socialism, the closest was probably the US in the early 30s and the UK in 1926, and both of those weren’t actually close at all. In parts of Eastern Europe associating with Soviet / ML aesthetics is low status even among progressive liberal elites, but they’re a lot closer to that history.

Of course, that same distance also applies to the radical right, but I think there’s almost an inherent understanding that the reactionary message is more compelling to much of the population (especially in a diversifying society) than the socialist message - and that’s true on both sides. There’s a reason no rich countries ever fell to socialism except for East Germany and Czecheslovakia, and in both those cases it happened at the end of the barrel of a Soviet gun.

No Anglo country has ever come even remotely close to falling to full socialism, the closest was probably the US in the early 30s and the UK in 1926, and both of those weren’t actually close at all.

The UK elected a socialist government in 1945. The Atlee government nationalised about 20% of the economy, and had plans for further nationalisations if they had won more elections. They were voted out because they didn't make abolishing wartime food rationing a priority - it isn't entirely clear if this was an ideologically-driven choice, but modern leftist lore is that food rationing was an accidental socialist success and that poor ate better under rationing (and the associated price controls).

That seems unlikely, given the abolition of food rationing was a very popular and core part of the Conservative campaign strategy in 1951, along with the reversal of unpopular nationalizations like haulage and buses.

2020 definitely felt close to a Revolution in America and had plenty of left wing terrorism. The Cathedral seemed to have bought into cultural Marxism at all levels. While we weren’t likely to go full economical Marxism it did seem a form of it was in full control. There were no gulags but dissent meant unemployment and deplatforming.

The only thing that seemed to have held at the time is America has different power centers. The electoral college maintains rural governing advantages both in the Senate and the Supreme Court takeover. Then Musks saved the media and opened up a platform. If America had a slightly more centralized political power it seems to me that the Marxists could have completed the conquest of the Capital (Russia for instance was always authoritarian and ran thru Moscow).

COVID was quite minor. If we had a real crisis I’m not sure if the other power basis would be able to counter.

Of course, that same distance also applies to the radical right, but I think there’s almost an inherent understanding that the reactionary message is more compelling to much of the population (especially in a diversifying society) than the socialist message - and that’s true on both sides.

Obviously history tells us a lot about the kinds of dictatorships that pop up in wealthy countries, but can you expound on this point? Are you saying that the left gets away with ‘no enemies to the left’ because the elites know there isn’t about to be a commie regime and so aren’t scared off by Unironic Marxists?

Yes, I think that’s true. I also think the experience electing conservative populists in the developed world suggests the people are drawn more to that messaging than leftist populism - Trump became President, Bernie couldn’t even beat Hillary in the primary. Corbyn bombed with the public, who mostly hated him by the time he was on his second election. Melenchon didn’t go anywhere in France. Leftist populists do better in poor countries, principally in Latin America.

Or rather, the steps for a reactionary populist coming to power in the US - if you’re a progressive elite - look something like Tucker Carlson winning a presidential (or maybe just being the trusted advisor to someone more competent than Trump who does), the GOP controlling both chambers (happened in Trump’s first term) and a conservative majority on SCOTUS (currently extant). Sure maybe the deep state still stops him, and obviously we know Carlson’s not a fascist really, but from their perspective that’s a risk.

The steps for an actual honest to god socialist coming to power in the US involve what, the total implosion of both existing parties and a nationwide movement of such strength that it could rewrite the constitution, pack the court and reshape American political economy? It seems unlikely, to say the least.

Or rather, the steps for a reactionary populist coming to power in the US - if you’re a progressive elite - look something like Tucker Carlson winning a presidential (or maybe just being the trusted advisor to someone more competent than Trump who does), the GOP controlling both chambers (happened in Trump’s first term) and a conservative majority on SCOTUS (currently extant). Sure maybe the deep state still stops him, and obviously we know Carlson’s not a fascist really, but from their perspective that’s a risk.

Or maybe just Trump being more interested in tweeting than governing while his more-capable advisors run the country. I think we're the right majordomo away from that scenario becoming reality in early 2025.

Trump doesn’t have the humility. Can’t see it happening unless it’s the VP and Trump dies or resigns.

I don't think his ego is tied to actually exercising power, he'd be more than content to let Desantis or whoever actually run the country as long as he got credit.

Bernie couldn’t even beat Hillary in the primary

We'll never know if he could've beaten her, as the Hillary-funded DNC fixed that race.

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