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Good luck with that. Increasingly if the lowest performing members of a politically relevant melanated group can't perform, nobody is allowed to.
I'm actually waiting for the government to start cracking down on homeschoolers. If too many people opt out of curriculums like this by withdrawing their kid, they'll just stop allowing it. I'm already seeing weird, nonsensical hit pieces, like John Oliver's terrifying segment basically trying to smear all white homeschoolers as Nazis or white supremacist. And the articles about "disproportionate impact" or "equity" practically write themselves. A lot of the true believers already belief the existence of the family is the biggest barrier to equity. You can't have whites fleeing the sinking ship that is public education and retreating even further into family!
Homeschoolers are probably not going to get cracked down on. For one thing, the homeschooling political machine is one of the most powerful on the right, on par with pro-life and pro-gun(both of which have more wins than losses). There’s also constitutional difficulties and a lack of interest in strong crackdowns from relevant parties; teachers unions want more money, but not to have to deal with homeschooler problems.
I wish I had your optimism. All I see in the future if homeschooling ends up like gun control is the state doing whatever the fuck they want, and then 5 to 10 years later of bad lower court judgements later, the Supreme Court finally tells states to knock it off. If you are lucky. And the state will just spuriously write another shitty narrowly tailored law effectively doing the exact same thing they were told not to do, and the cycle repeats with zero actual respite for the people suffering under a fascist state violating their rights.
Applied to homeschoolers, instead of the state taking your guns, they take your kids. And then 5 to 10 years of lawfare later you missed out on the most formative years of their life, and the state has taught them to hate you.
And maybe they won't come at homeschooling directly. Maybe they'll just have an informal policy of sending social workers of fishing expeditions to your house. Or, wouldn't you know it, "anonymous" allegations are just constantly made against homeschoolers. Oh well. I'm sure some billionaire will put an NGO on that. Or maybe your own tax dollars.
They'll show up and start saying a bunch of scary shit that may or may not even be true about having the cops take your kids immediately if you don't let them in to snoop around. Maybe they'll insist on having the kids alone for a private conversation, whether they have the right to not, and then next thing you know they've declared your child has a protected identity and they aren't safe with you.
My understanding is social workers, as agents of the state, are bound by the same constitutional restrictions as police officers. But I doubt many people know that. I doubt people know you can refuse to allow them to enter, refuse to speak to them, etc.
I've seen so much weaponization of the government against the people the last 3 years, I wouldn't consider anything off limits for them.
Homeschoolers already have a playbook for CPS interest; increased scrutiny is unlikely to do much(and AIUI there’s a few odd exceptions but that CPS generally doesn’t have the power to remove children without evidence of actual abuse; the half dozen or so homeschooled kids on the country who claim untrue things about their gender might be removed if their families visit California or something like that. To the best of my knowledge the vast majority of CPS removals are for neglect, and homeschoolers are generally pretty good at avoiding that one).
Even if it doesn't result in removal, it can still be an ongoing hassle. "The process is the punishment" and all that.
This is absolutely true, but we should probably bear in mind that homeschoolers are likely to be a tough nut to crack because they signed up to deal with hassle, and have support from irl communities invested in protecting them from such things.
Protecting them how? If you have a social worker showing up to "investigate" each month, every month, what can others do to "protect" you from the hassle, the stress, the time loss, et cetera. I say this because there's a non-homeschooling case — involving kids walking home from school a few blocks away, and a neighbor who considered that "neglect" — which immediately comes to mind.
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