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PaperclipPerfector  1yr ago (text post)   27147 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of November 20, 2023

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It's pretty unlikely that such a war would even be fought with AR15s, much less tanks and planes.

No, a future American civil war would inevitably involve significant state-to-state territorial disputes because the breakdown in federal authority necessitates big states establishing their regional hegemony to safeguard their own stability and non-isolation from both resources and markets. This process involves lots of conventional armies moving around because that’s what governments do.

Crunching some numbers to get a rough sense about potential Second US CW.

Compared to most of world's armies, US armed forces are enormous.

Compared to US territory and population, they are tiny, especially the high tech part.

Assuming US population as 330 million:

2,800 tanks = one tank/118,000 Americans

3,500 aircraft = one plane/95,000 Americans

760 helicopters = one chopper/435,000 Americans

And all these wonder weapons are dependent on supply from American and world economies, who would cease to exist when North America turns into Somalia on ice.

For comparison, in Syria in 2011 when the late unpleasantness began, the ratio was:

Counting Syrian population as 21 million:

4,800 MBT = one tank/4,375 Syrians

4,500 IFV = one IFV/4,666 Syrians

575 aircraft = one plane/36,000 Syrians

191 helicopters = one chopper/110,000 Syrians

Conclusion: Second US Civil War will be fought with pickup trucks and construction machinery with extra metal plates welded on.

And drones. Drones, drones, drones. Masses of 3D printed plastic drones swarming from horizon to horizon.

Yes, bikes too, our poster Kulak's dream coming true.

Interesting times for everyone involved(and the whole world will be involved).

edit: links set properly

Conclusion: Second US Civil War will be fought with pickup trucks and construction machinery with extra metal plates welded on.

Again, what makes you think it'd ever get to a "Second US Civil War" stage with open military, rather than just a bunch of Wacos, Ruby Ridges, and the arrest and/or execution of a bunch of attempted or actual McVeighs? Just ordinary law enforcement keeping Our Democracy safe from domestic terrorists?

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