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If white replacement ends in the destruction of your society and perhaps the deaths of you and your descendants in 50 years, as many replacement theory believers perceive, that would be a larger threat than the maybe 1% chance of a nuclear exchange tomorrow.
More broadly I don't think that this kind of 'I should only think about my personal and immediate interests and not give a shit about the broader society I live in or the long-term future' attitude actually holds up that well. It's a recipe for extreme short-termist thinking, a politics that is incapable of solving problems on any kind of significant time-scale. Coming from a country that I believe has been totally ruined by this kind of attitude, I am much more worried about what the country will look like in thirty years than whether someone might randomly invade us tomorrow.
1% per day of nuclear exchange is extremely high. That's in the ballpark of what the per-day risk would be if Taiwan were under attack in earnest and the USA/PRC were at conventional war; it's crisis levels (I think it very likely a Taiwan war would escalate to cities being nuked, but that's mostly because it could last for months without a conventional resolution and the 1-2%/day adds up).
I've been sounding the alarm regarding nukes for a long time - I think a full-scale nuclear war's more likely than not before 2050 - and I'm quite sure we're at much-lower levels of risk at the moment than 1%/day (for the next week I'd say <0.001%/day, though I'm less confident over e.g. the next three months). At 1%/day of nuclear exchange it is entirely correct to not worry about where trendlines are heading in 30 years' time, because unless that risk goes away inside a few months those trendlines are going to get scrambled (demographic trends especially-so - the deaths would be highly-correlated with living in cities which correlates with ~everything).
Your argument isn't entirely meritless, but the number you give is way out of line for that argument.
Yes, I think that 1% chance of a nuclear war tomorrow is high - I am using the word 'tomorrow' figuratively, to mean 'in the foreseeable future'.
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