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Israel-Gaza Megathread #3

This is a refreshed megathread for any posts on the conflict between (so far, and so far as I know) Hamas and the Israeli government, as well as related geopolitics. Culture War thread rules apply.

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There is an equilibrium where if most of Israel's neighbors turn against Israel, Israel doesn't have a chance

We've seen that twice before. Israel had a chance.

Yes: unless Arab military culture has changed in the past 23 years, the key threat to Israel is not a conventional conflict with its neighbours. A success of Palestinian human shield/"hit while crying" tactics to shift opinion (especially in the US) is more likely and more of a threat, though not necessarily likely.

https://ciaotest.cc.columbia.edu/olj/meria/meria00_den01.html