site banner

Reaper Drones over Houston: A War in Mexico Would Mean War in America

open.substack.com

Take I wrote on increasing calls in Republican and bi-partisan spaces for a Military intervention into Mexico against the Cartels, and why this would inevitably lead to armed conflict within America itself, along with a possible death spiral of instability in the wider North American region.

16
Jump in the discussion.

No email address required.

I assume you're looking at this report? If so, it goes on to paint a slightly different picture.

  1. Those "related substances" are precursors, some (most?) of which are going to Mexico for synthesis
  2. China's regulatory regime was starting to crack down on the market
  3. Crackdowns have pushed manufacturers to countries like India
  4. Oh, and this is pre-COVID

This is compatible with the cartels being essential to the process. Because there are no numbers, I can't prove it. I would be interested to see whether China was successful in slowing down the flow of precursors.

You're right, I took the quote from an article that claimed that quote was from earlier this year. The drugs are produced in Mexico from Chinese precursors, sure, it's unclear why they couldn't be produced elsewhere using the same Chinese precursors if production in Mexico became too challenging. The vast majority of US imports aren't inspected, as ever.

Here's a more recent quote from DEA Administrator Milgram from last month:

In response to a question on China’s role alongside the US in preventing fentanyl from being produced, Milgram said: “We have had recent conversations with Chinese authorities, both in Beijing and in Washington, talking about improving law enforcement cooperation.

“For about the past year, we have not had the cooperation that we want to have. And, of course, we have offices in the People’s Republic of China and all over Asia. We have 334 offices around the world. So the recent conversations, I think, are very important, and now we have to see if we can turn this into law enforcement cooperation,” she added.