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PaperclipPerfector  1yr ago (text post)   30054 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of August 21, 2023

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The huge discrepancy in Democratic/Republican voting between unmarried and married women really cries out for an explanation.

I wonder what the discrepancy is like if you control for age and opinion about abortion.

Women change radically with marriage and children. Far more so than men do.

The phenomenon is real, but young men have substantially lower voter turnout than young women. Even in 2020, young male voter turnout was probably 44%. In 2016, it was maybe 37%.

And the gulf between parties is also partially explained by race - for example single black women have much higher voter turnout than single black men, and since black voters choose Democrats 90%+ of the time, that skews the gender-based stats. Look at this data (scroll down). Black women 18-29 have voter turnout of almost 50%, black men 18-29 have voter turnout of 30%.

The actual gap is between young white men and young white women. Even there though, the swing is nowhere near that describe in the link. Young white men go for Trump 51-45, young white women 42-55 for Biden. So there’s a 9-point difference, not a 30-point one.

Those stats are for young people in general, not young single people. If we make the assumption that people are mostly partnered up intra-party, then the small overall difference in political ideology by gender becomes much larger among those who are still single.

In 2011, just 20% of 18-29 year olds in the US were married. We can assume the current number is even less. So almost all these people are single.

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