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naraburns  nihil supernum  2yr ago (text post)   4156 thread views

Small-Scale Question Sunday for March 19, 2023

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Is there a good writeup on how AI might affect employment in software engineering in the next 3 years or so?

More jobs at AI startups, especially for people that can make Python code run faster? Of course, that depends a lot on whether the fed will continue printing money (likely so, you all see what happens if they try to stop).

Now if you asked 30 years... that may be a harder question.

GPT-4 performance on programming competition problems drops precipitously on problems written after 2021.

In general, people who work outside of a field have a poor understanding of what people in that field actually do - which can manifest as an underestimation of how difficult it is to automate various tasks.

At the time of this writing, the ArtStation job board has 83 open listings for concept artists, even though that should be the niche that AI art generators excel at the most.

You just stated this without justification though. I think it’s totally plausible, maybe even the most likely scenario, but I’d like to see some kind of reasoning for it, preferably with numbers.

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