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naraburns  nihil supernum  1yr ago (text post)   33258 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of February 20, 2023

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I am skeptical there is empirical data to support the idea that this is an accurate description of reality.

This is based on dating app data and divorce filings.

That aside I'm not sure I see what the problem is. If the ten women would rather spend time dating one guy than dating different guys that seems fine? It's their lives.

I suppose you could look at it like that, but its a cause of low fertility, and basically every woman who ends up in this situation regrets it. There is substantial polling data that women want more children (in the US) than they end up having, and a large cause of this is early-20s hypergamy loops that result in them not marrying until far too late.

This description makes it sound like all the women who aren't eventually going to end up with the man they are dating are wronging the other men by not dating them but I don't think that's true.

Its bad for them and the men, and they are the ones in control of the situation. That is an accurate description of the situation. "Wronging" is not the word I'd use, but it is bad.

This is based on dating app data and divorce filings.

Can you link me the data? The data I'm aware of for divorces shows upwards of 70% are by mutual consent. And similarly over 70% of men aged 18-30 reported having sex in the last year. That is mathematically impossible with the top 10% of men monopolizing women.

I suppose you could look at it like that, but its a cause of low fertility, and basically every woman who ends up in this situation regrets it.

Citation?

There is substantial polling data that women want more children (in the US) than they end up having, and a large cause of this is early-20s hypergamy loops that result in them not marrying until far too late.

Citation that the "hypergamy loops" are a cause of marrying too late?

Here's some of the dating app data.

https://gwern.net/doc/psychology/okcupid/index

https://goodmenproject.com/featured-content/women-say-80-of-men-are-below-average/

Here's the divorce filing data

https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/finding-new-home/202203/why-women-are-much-more-likely-men-initiate-divorce

Women aren't having as many children as they want

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/13/upshot/american-fertility-is-falling-short-of-what-women-want.html

Citation that the "hypergamy loops" are a cause of marrying too late?

That is just an obvious inference given the data we have.

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