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naraburns  nihil supernum  1yr ago (text post)   31610 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of January 16, 2023

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Seems highly optimistic for NATO. I genuinely believe that Russia would resort to Nuclear solutions if they become sufficiently desperate. If Ukraine was to fall into NATO hands it gives the West a far too easy land path into Moscow. I don't think this war is even close to over and the future of the conflict Is unknowable at this point in time. I have a sneaking suspicion however that the Ukraine that was is essentially lost forever.

If Ukraine was to fall into NATO hands it gives the West a far too easy land path into Moscow.

Not entirely sure is Russian leadership (or anyone else) really believing this.

As long as Russia has working nukes no other country is going to push tank divisions into Moscow.

Furthermore, not that NATO would push tanks to Moscow but war with Nato hasn’t been that bad for countries. I remember seeing a population growth chart on when Russia invaded and when the US invades. Russia invasion sees medium term population fall while if you looked at a population chart of Afghanistan or Iraq you wouldn’t see evidence of war.

One part of this is Nato being better at war and more capable of destroying armies and not using Russian artillery strategies or lack of concern of civilian casualties; the other part is Nato does a good job of paying for what it breaks.

If the US did invade Russia Putin and a few others probably get hanged. Everyone else would carry on relatively normal and potential get checks.

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