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Notes -
Oh yeah, this argument. You of course pretend to know this is .. I dunno, tunnelling, and not a contest between two almost equally matched sides out of which one can replenish its losses and the other cannot.
Do you truly believe the 30 million population of Ukraine can keep sustaining an attritional warfare with Russia ? Note that Russians could basically keep this war going forever, mortality wise- they're losing maybe 70k people a year at worst, meanwhile they have 600k births of boys per year.
I do believe that the frontline has barely changed in the time since the counter offensive. And there are maps to support me. In 30 years we may all be dead or ai slaves, but right here right now the front line is very stable and there doesn't seem to be chance of big swing in either direction in the next few months. So aside from the body bags this is effectively ceasefire as long as the diplomacy of hammering a deal is concerned.
Ukraine may be sacrificing a lot to keep the things stable, but it doesn't looks like there will be depletion of their ability to provide meat for the grinder in next two years.
Ukraine has been falling back slowly but steadily. It's not 'very stable'. They lost ~4500 square kilometers since the counteroffensive, or perhaps even more.
As to body bags, the last exchange had a ratio of 22:1 of course that's skewed bc Russia is advancing.
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