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Didn't Russia fight a violent internal war against minority separatist groups? I seem to recall that happening.
Broadly I think you are attributing a lot of views to me without any evidence that I hold them. Which is fine, I guess. I think that probably the truth on China is between "OMNICOMPETENT HYPERSTATE OF THE FUTURE" and "weak, lame, dying, about to crack."
As I said, I don't think China is "on the verge" of collapsing over any sort of near-term timescale.
Yes, we won. I refer to the “decolonizing” partition plans during this war, like this one. In reality, the colonized Buryats and all others eagerly enlist and fight in Ukraine (and get killed disproportionately). My point is that even a moderately effective state can easily suppress ethnic minority separatism within its borders, so hoping that China will somehow collapse due to ethnic tensions is not serious.
Uh, the chief military recruiting populations in the US mostly come from regions that would be more likely to take their chances at jumping in a major state crisis.
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Yes, I've seen the footage of the Chechens, they seem quite happy to be back in the field.
I don't particularly think China will collapse due to ethnic tensions.
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