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Notes -
It does look like it was most likely a Ukie missile that went astray, but why do you keep telling everyone where the front lines are? Russia has been bombarding targets across Ukraine for over a month now, I don't think anyone thinks this missile was targeted at the front lines and flew right over them, more that it was targeted at a power plant in Western Ukraine.
1: If the missile is as reported, a S-300 AA rocket, it has a maximum flight range of 200km
2: Russian AA has to be behind their front line.
3: The front line is 1,000km minimum from Poland.
4: Ergo, there is no physical way that particular rocket could have made it to Poland from any Russian position. It would have to have been fired within 200km of the Polish border, probably much closer. Which means Ukranian or Belorussian, not Russian.
Think of it this way: if a guy in Chicago gets shot with a 9mm slug from a handgun, it probably wasn't fired from Detroit. We can rule Detroit out as a source of the gunshot, because bullets don't travel that far. We can use the maximum range of the projectile to measure the radius from the impact point where it could have originated, and this can eliminate a lot of potential sources.
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