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Transnational Thursday for March 20, 2025

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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eh, they're still better off than Europe. Ethnic German tfr isn't any higher than ethnic Russian. The Europeans have inflated their numbers by importing foreigners, but this is actually a long term detriment. Currently in modern countries you need around a 70iq to at least function, but with ai and multi function robots around the corner this is increasing. Wouldn't be surprising if around 85 is needed to function by 2040-50. Assuming we aren't all obsoleted by some kinda singularity level event.

Majority of immigrant populations are maybe 85 iq. So about half of them will be societal deadweight, at the same time the productive population is declining. It's worse in some places, somalis are maybe 70 IQ, and they have a TFR of 5 or so in Sweden.

Really only east asia is looking good these days. US might just avoid Europe's fate if populism can kick out the globalists. Oceania despite their best efforts might be saved by geography. It's east asia's century though.

Russia has the second largest illegal immigration problem in the world, behind only the USA, and its youth population is increasingly Muslim steppe peasants with IQ’s suppressed by generations of cousin marriage. The idea that it’s ‘resisting demographic change’ in a way Germany isn’t is risible.

No doubt Russia in 2100 will speak Russian and have ethnic Russians occupying top spots. But that’s because it’s an empire. How many Puerto Ricans are there in the senate? Descendants of illegals?

with IQ’s suppressed by generations of cousin marriage.

wouldn't that mean that IQ gets leap back in just 1 generation after?