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Notes -
I’ve had decent results tapping the “nothing ever happens” sign, so I guess my predictions look like this.
Putting numbers to these makes me realize how unsure I am. It’s hard to frame the predictions without getting way too detailed.
The long and the short of it is: I expect Trump to take any options that look like a Strong Leader Doing Something. In the absence of a flashpoint, Doing Something means scaling up existing red-state policies, not suspending elections.
It’s easy to see a route which leads to Trumpocracy. That doesn’t mean the route is likely.
More options
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