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Notes -
Apparently, also 10,000 troops at the border, plus a "fentanyl czar." I could've missed something, but as far as I can see, the last-minute concessions agreed to by Trudeau are just all the same ones he'd announced in December, which muddies the picture in figuring out what is really going on. It's at least somewhat likely that Trudeau's December plan was what Trump wanted and Trump just wasn't paying close enough attention to Canada to notice that Canada already gave in to his demands.
But I really don't see any specific thing Trump wants from Canada for these tariffs. Or rather, he keeps adding new justifications for them so often that I don't believe any of them is the real reason. It's possible he really wants to go after Mexico, but can't go after Mexico alone because of CUSMA. It's also possible he faults Trudeau for the trucker protest response or for more personal reasons and just wants to kick him in the ass on his way out. But I'm increasingly leaning more towards the theory that this is the 21st century version of a new emperor demanding fealty from his vassals. It doesn't matter what Canada does, as long as they're seen as giving in.
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