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Notes -
I would not see the lineup for the breakdown towards which the US is currently slouching to feature guerilla insurgents operating on their own -- there are an awful lot of big powerful States that are diametrically opposed to each other. (as with v1.0, of course)
Wouldn't a more realistic scenario be various Red States snatching up military assets within their borders, and using them in support of both set-pieces and terrorism/guerilla activity nibbling at the (vast) rural regions of the adjoining Blue ones? (VC/NVA would be a pretty realistic model actually)
The only one of your three points not potentially present in rural Blue States is the first one -- and if a true break were to occur in the Union, that one manifests in about ten seconds.
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