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Culture War Roundup for the week of January 20, 2025

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I don't think you can realistically compare the two countries in question because it doesn't take in consideration outside factors. There are two variables:

  1. How often are people getting arrested for something they say online.
  2. How often do people say something online that they can get arrested for.

My argument is that in Russia, due to the chilling effects of propaganda, astroturfing, arrests, assassinations, difference in treatment in prisons, general depoliticization of society, people in Russia are less likely to say something that attracts the attention of the government, especially using their real name. This isn't the free speech as you conceive of it in more liberal societies. This likely accounts for #2 being lower per capita in Russia than in UK in general - people know that you shouldn't speak out in a way that can attract unwanted attention.

Additionally, specifically due to section 127 including harassment, I'd argue that you'd need to go through each case to determine whether the government was punishing someone for exercising their right to free speech. This likely accounts for #1 being lower than reported in the original tweet for UK. I don't have modern data, I'd expect with the riots this would be higher than in 2017.

So do raw numbers really matter? My answer is: "No, they don't. The two cultures, social norms and political situations are fundamentally different".

Chilling effects apply in UK too, obviously. Major point of these laws is to get people to shut up.

The range of things that I can safely say online as a Brit is considerably wider than the range of things an American with a W-2 job can say if they want to keep it. (I acknowledge Trump may change this).

In Britain you can get fired AND get arrested/fined, in US only get fired (except in case of specific actionable threats).

In America you get fired the same day as soon as someone in comms wakes up someone in HR. In the UK you get put on administrative leave at full pay until a full work tribunal process is completed and/or you’re convicted which might be a year or two later and which involves the ability to mount an actual defense of some kind (and which defendants, in both cases, do sometimes win).

I don't think that's worth the possibility of going to prison though.