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Prediction: within six months almost all human moderation is out, Musk announced "AI" filtering is in. Musk thinks you can drop headcount and achieve better results by building a scaleable software that can give users whatever kind of experience they want. Several slidebars will allow you to tailor the AI moderation: are you offended by swears, slurs, sexuality, the existence of trans people, etc. You can choose G rated twitter or shortform 4chan. The moderation is supposed to be only for offensive content, not for content position. Users immediately try to ruin that.
Controversy ensues. New York Magazine's cover story claims that the automod keeps banning Black and Trans BIPOC Sex Workers of Colour from posting anywhere near kids, and that's Problematic because Trans Kids need to have role models. The New Yorker cover story claims that creating stronger bubbles between users is going to tear our democracy apart, as Qanon-adjacent groups use a combination of setting very strict filtration against profanity/crudity/salacious content and speaking in code that the AI doesn't pick up for violence and slurs against Blck and Trans BIPOC of Colour. The New York Times Magazine cover story claims that the filters don't work, that offensive things are still being said to Black and Trans BIPOC Women of Colour.
The last one will be accurate. Rdrama and various chans are on a mission to weaponize their autism by figuring out how to game the automod. Trolls will figure out elaborate methods to sneak through moderation, and offensive content will show up everywhere. The auto-ref doesn't work, if you are always working the refs. Discourse, such as it is, collapses.
Musk claims user counts are up. It's not clear if that's the trolls or the users getting trolled. Musk unloads Twitter for a fraction of the original purchase price to Softbank. Many blame the new management as users collapse.
A realistic tale. Which is why it's never going to happen that way. Not in this world. You need at least half a dozen more completely outlandish reversals and random events culminating into something incomprehensible and impossible to predict.
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