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Transnational Thursday for January 9, 2025

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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Some stuff I'm looking at this week. The Facebook censorship policy change seems important. The Russia/EU Suwałki gap items are also pretty interesting.

Some digital brain simulations is able to predict fMRI data.

US sanctions Chinese company for cyberattacks

110K Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps forces to stage military exercise

Time to get rid of TTP once and for all, says Pakistani PM

There was aurge in armed activities by Baloch 'pro-independence' groups in 2024

Climate extremes significantly disrupted global water cycle in 2024, says the Global Water Monitor Report

"In the arena of Western politics where they’d cut their teeth, the worst imaginable outcome was that a poorly phrased missive might rile an EU country’s prime minister or upset an industry lobby group. Now, they’d inserted themselves into a bitter ethnic dispute where the worst thing that could happen was somebody burning down your house and cutting your head off."; Politico on Europe and Nagorno-Karabach

NATO to deploy nearly a dozen ships to the Baltic Sea to protect underwater infrastructure

Tibet earthquake kills more than 120 people

Jerusalem Post calling for a pre-emptive strike on Iran's nuclear program

Hamas approves Israeli list of captives to be freed as part of Gaza ceasefire deal

Israeli soldier flees Brazil amid Gaza war crimes investigation

Japanese crime leader pleads guilty to conspiring to sell nuclear materials to Iran

Deepsea internet cable connecting Taiwan to the rest of the world cut off by China.

Human Metapneumovirus (HMPV) outbreak in China; reporting somewhat sensationalistic

Russia intends to share advanced space tech with North Korea, says Blinken

Blinken reveals that the US began supplying weapons to Ukraine before the Russian invasion

Russian TV personalities, including a Duma member, talk about why Russia is cutting energy cables on national TV. "[The point] is to create problems for them, and it is creating problems", "We need the Suwałki Gap from Kaliningrad to Leningrad", "So let's go ahead and invade Estonia, right? Why just Estonia? Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania". It's pretty good TV.

Lithuania to protect said Suwalki Gap more intensely, ahead of planned disconnection of Baltic countries from Soviet-era grid shared with Russia and Belarus.

Russia says Ukraine Fired US-made missiles at Belgorod region

Techcrunch covers Chinese cyberattack capabilities. "The U.S. says Chinese government-backed hackers have — in some cases for years — been burrowing deep into the networks of U.S. critical infrastructure, including water, energy, and transportation providers. The goal, officials say, is to lay the groundwork for potentially destructive cyberattacks in the event of a future conflict between China and the United States, such as over a possible Chinese invasion of Taiwan"

344K Michigan turkeys killed after detecting bird flu outbreaks

First H5 bird flu death reported in US

Parting Biden administration to remove regulations to facilitate civil nuclear cooperation with India

State Department accuses Sudan's Rapid Support Forces of committing genocide

Maoist rebels in India kill nine

North Korea does further intermediate-range missile tests

Indonesia joins BRICS

Paraguay and Venezuela suspend relations after Paraguay recognizes Edmundo González as the president

Masked men kidnap son-in-law of Edmundo González

US to maybe purchase Greenland??

International flights resume from Damascus

India confirms first case of HMPV

Zuckerberg announces end to censorship in Facebook and Instagram, asks US to pressure Europeans and others for more free speech.

Maybe this won't generate great discussions, but thanks for posting this. While I try to keep up with international news, I missed a few stories.

Deepsea internet cable connecting Taiwan to the rest of the world cut off by China.

It's infuriating that there seems to be no defense/response to this

Thanks!

It's infuriating that there seems to be no defense/response to this

I know right. The antecedents are that Russia tried a similar thing, cutting internet and power cables in the Baltics, and it didn't result in much of a response from NATO. So now China has tried the same thing in Taiwan, and it isn't getting much of a response, so hostilities keep increasing.

With Russia I think the West has come to believe that there are some bright lines that separate the conflict from a full NATO/Russia confrontation, whereas Russia doesn't believe that, and keeps finding new areas of semi covert sabotage. The danger is that by blurring declarations of war into gradients, and having ineffective deterrence, low commitments, you just waltz into continued escalation.

The situation with China isn't that far along, and in particular, trade continues. But it's trending in a similar direction. And cutting internet cables just seems so hostile to me.

I applaud the attempt to bring back the bare links thread thought the backdoor, but I don't think that's going to cut it.