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U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.

If you're a U.S. citizen with voting rights, your polling place can reportedly be located here.

If you're still researching issues, Ballotpedia is usually reasonably helpful.

Any other reasonably neutral election resources you'd like me to add to this notification, I'm happy to add.

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If a weather forecast says there is a 50% chance of rain tomorrow, and it does not rain, was the forecast wrong? If a betting market says there's only a 40% of rain, and it doesn't rain, did the betting market crush the weather forecast?

This is an evergreen response “my percentages were correct but sometimes things happen.” But I can buy it with the weather man (you make 365 predictions pa). But elections practically happen once every two years.

And yet, don't evergreen responses sometimes hold tree for as long as the evergreen does? Sometimes the exceptions need to be shocking to break the rule (such as a forest fire causing the evergreen to lose it's green), but the consistency across contexts doesn't disprove the evergreen.

Well the point I am making is that the poll guys basically are non falsifiable since the samples are too small so I don’t give credence to their “I was right but sometimes you hit red on roulette” schtick