With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.
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Notes -
Guesswork here: Jews tend to be wealthy (mainly) because they rolled a high IQ stat on average, and as a result American Jews tend to avoid some of the most unpleasant consequences of Democratic party politics, like poor policing. This makes them more likely to support higher degrees of empathy than the average American because they can afford those higher degrees of empathy without it substantially impacting their lives. It is also possible that the higher IQ is also just correlated positively with high degrees of abstract empathy. American Jews also, being wealthy on average, tend to support America's establishment status quo on average because if you're benefiting from the current situation, why rock the boat? A combination of Trumpism somewhat pattern-matching to Nazism, high levels of empathy and ability to afford empathy, and valuing the status quo gives American Jews a high level of incentive to vote against Trump even despite 10/7 and the interests of those Jews who are in Israel. The fact that it's the lowest level of support in 24 years can be explained by the fact that for many American Jews, Trump presents a viscerally unpleasant issue, whereas Israel's issues are relatively abstract and distant.
Jews are disproportionately rich and PMC. Trump support is déclassé. A lot of people severely underestimated how stigmatized being a Trump supporter still is after eight years.
I honestly think that’s most of it. Call it my tribal theory of the cocktail party.
There are some notable defectors and early adopters who paid a high social cost for supporting Trump. Each subsequent person is less likely to pay a cost.
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