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naraburns  nihil supernum  1d ago (text post)   14371 thread views

U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.

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Trump has a 21% chance in Minnesota according to Polymarket. (Thin market though).

Whatever happens, Walz had a really bad campaign. Despite being the beneficiary of an nearly unprecedented positive media blitz, he was quickly exposed as a faker and, quite frankly, not very bright.

If Kamala loses Walz's home state of Minnesota, his selection would go down as one of the great campaign blunders of all-time.

At 98.5% much later the next morning, it looks like it's Harris +5. So she didn't actually need Walz. Should have gone with Shapiro as a purely strategic question/factual matter, but wouldn't have been enough by itself to win either.

Eh, I think Sarah Palin will be the front runner for some time yet.

I mean, it has to be Tom Eagleton, right?

McGovern kinda has the same problem jeroboam brings for McCain, except more so. Not only was McGovern losing in polls (by double digits!) before he picked up Eagleton, he only picked Eagleton after pretty much every popular federal Dem politician refused the bid, and Eagleton himself didn't seem to want it much.

I'd like to point to Breckinridge, but I guess that's a different sort of campaign blunder, and he did at least win the first election though, thankfully, not the war.

Do you think McCain had a path to victory? The media hate of Palin might not have mattered.

Certainly the media love of Walz didn't.

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