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naraburns  nihil supernum  17d ago (text post)   26888 thread views

U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.

If you're a U.S. citizen with voting rights, your polling place can reportedly be located here.

If you're still researching issues, Ballotpedia is usually reasonably helpful.

Any other reasonably neutral election resources you'd like me to add to this notification, I'm happy to add.

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I'm sure the smarties know that something (like the Blob part of VA being counted last) but Trump is currently slightly ahead there. I don't think he'll take it, but if it holds up to be anywhere near close that is a crazy polling miss.

He won't. Fairfax County will deliver all the federal employees who are beholden to Democrat make work projects. Also the Clinton political machine is deeply embedded in Northern VA. There is a reason she picked Tim Kaine as her VP pick back in 2016.

Yeah, turns out not super-close -- margin is not looking yuge though, he must have pulled some votes there somehow.

Yeah, it might help some with the popular vote. Didn't make a dent in local politics though sadly.

Yeah, I saw that too. Polymarket doesn't seem to buy it, giving Trump only a 6% chance.

But if Virginia is close, NC and GA should be resounding Trump wins.

The question mark of North Carolina is how much the hurricane disrupted election infrastructure. IIRC, the hurricane most devastated the western part of the state, which is the redder.

I don't claim to have looked closely at how post-hurricane election efforts resolved, but between displacements and flood aftermaths that is the sort of situation where slow recovery leads to depressed turnout.

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