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Notes -
Say a standard explosive charge/egg inflicts on margin, X dollars of damage to the enemy. You can calculate that a cruise missile delivery (1 egg) costs more than a dumb bomb (also worth 1 egg) or artillery. But in any case, its cost should not be multiples of X, or you would prefer not to build that extra missile.
It is theoretically possible, and imo it is in fact the case with carriers, that your egg-delivery system is so vulnerable to cheap attacks, that no eggs at all can be "economically" delivered.
Your paradigm-shifting example was a 1000 dollar drone destroying a 100 M plane, 100 000 to one. Back in 1982, a 200K exocet sank a 50M destroyer, 250 to 1. Since then the ratio has come closer to the drone-plane example.
What’s the lowest possible, mass manufactured, cost of a missile that can sink a 20B carrier? 1M perhaps, 20 000 to one. That’s enough for me. I’ll register a prediction that if there is a war over taiwan, carriers are either going to be too far to be of any use, or one will be sunk, and then they will be too far to be of any use.
You already fumbled the structural dynamics for the mathing, and without that there's not really much to comment on.
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