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Weekly NFL Thread: Week 4

Let's chat about the National Football League. This week's schedule (all times Eastern):

Sun 2024-09-29 1:00PM Cincinnati Bengals @ Carolina Panthers
Sun 2024-09-29 1:00PM Denver Broncos @ New York Jets
Sun 2024-09-29 1:00PM Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans
Sun 2024-09-29 1:00PM Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers
Sun 2024-09-29 1:00PM New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun 2024-09-29 1:00PM Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun 2024-09-29 1:00PM Pittsburgh Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts
Sun 2024-09-29 1:00PM Los Angeles Rams @ Chicago Bears
Sun 2024-09-29 4:05PM New England Patriots @ San Francisco 49ers
Sun 2024-09-29 4:05PM Washington Commanders @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun 2024-09-29 4:25PM Cleveland Browns @ Las Vegas Raiders
Sun 2024-09-29 4:25PM Kansas City Chiefs @ Los Angeles Chargers
Sun 2024-09-29 8:20PM Buffalo Bills @ Baltimore Ravens
Mon 2024-09-30 7:30PM Tennessee Titans @ Miami Dolphins
Mon 2024-09-30 8:15PM Seattle Seahawks @ Detroit Lions
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This is especially hard for the Eagles because they had luck with moving on from Andy and Doug, both didn't need to go but it ended up being a good thing for the birds.

I'm a big believer that coaches get stale. You saw it with Andy Reid, with Joe Torre, twice with Joe Girardi. The head coach is only the tip of the iceberg, there are an average of 15 coaches on an NFL staff. When head coaches stay in one place too long, only the really special coaches can avoid ensconcing themselves in layers of friends and associates, calcifying old systems that have trouble responding to changes. Moving on from Andy was good for both parties.

Doug fell victim to the same cycle of a QB with an uncertain talent level somewhere between MVP level franchise cornerstone and unplayable turnover machine: you fire the coach before trading the QB because replacement level coaches are nearly as good as great coaches, while replacement level QBs are essentially useless for a win-now roster. Coaches have minor leagues in the college system they can flow into and out of, producing a reservoir of talent. QBs sink of swim in the NFL.

you fire the coach before trading the QB because replacement level coaches are nearly as good as great coaches, while replacement level QBs are essentially useless for a win-now roster.

I really like this frame. Elegantly clarifies some intuitions I've had.

Agree with all.