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Live Presidential Debate Thread

Thought this would be useful

https://youtube.com/live/SGRydccYp0c

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It's a Keynesian beauty contest, all the bettors are trying to guess how a "normie" would react. Do you think the kinds of people who bet on polymarket are good at getting their fingers on the pulse of how voters react in real time?

I think the aggregate gives them an advantage and they'll probably guess right, but it takes time to collect all that information, I just don't think volatile events can get decent prices instantaneously.

The post debate polls will surely influence people quite a lot.