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Iran can start attacking every vessel in the strait of Hormuz and cause a global recession.
We don't know what kind of outcome Iran was aiming for last time, it might have just been a token retaliation, and thus not an accurate demonstration of their actual ability to strike Israel. If they were actually trying to strike Israel, they would first overwhelm missile defenses with rockets from Lebanon, where they have the capacity to do so. Iran's failed strike against Israel was symbolic. A real strike would start with waves of rockets from Lebanon.
This is a dumb take because Iran launched 300+ drones and missiles in what became the first large scale test of Israel’s Iron Dome.
They did not expect 99% of those to be shot out of the sky.
That’s not a “token” or “symbolic” response just because it turns out to have been militarily ineffective. They did not use Hezbollah because when Hezbollah does decide to go all out then Israel will invade. It’s kind of a one time option.
In contrast, Israel’s response to the first overt attack from Iran was to destroy a key air defense system.
Now that Iranians know the ineffectiveness of their first try, yes, they will have to up their game to try to overwhelm the missile defenses, including coordination with a major launch from Hezbollah.
If Iran starts attacking commercial shipping then the US Navy will make the Iranian navy disappear pretty rapidly.
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