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Culture War Roundup for the week of July 29, 2024

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I would imagine that spending 18 years, on top of having enough of a legal career to merit consideration as a SC justice (they would probably return to older nominations because the lifetime incentive to nominate super young ones would disappear), would be a long enough span of time that by the time you're done on the SC, your career is basically done anyways. So 18 years is too short to worry about a revolving door, at the very least for this particular position (might not extend to senators).

In fact, if you look at historical data the median age range (50-54) already serves an average of 18.6 years. That means a nominee of that age is going to be 68-74 when they're done, which leaves not that much time for corrupt profit. Or even no time at all! Remember, that historical average time served on the bench is usually ended by, uh, literal death or often major illness. And the most common age group is actually 55-59, so the problem would be even less notable.

So basically your worry about selling out is ranges from a minimal worry to a non-issue, according to the data.

What's the point of instituting and codifying an 18 year term limit except to boot out outliers? It makes it seems it's at best a short-term political play to get the most longstanding conservative judge off the bench and refresh an old Democratic judge and is a purely partisan reform.

What's the point of amending the Constitution permanently? Uh, obviously to create permanent change? It's more weird that you consider an amendment to be a short-term strategy. At least when we're talking about the construction of the amendment itself.

In the medium to long term it seems pretty healthy for the system to institute an 18 year thing. As I mentioned in my other comment, the timeframe is already in line with the current average time on the bench (or even a little longer), and furthermore if we go farther back in history, due to shorter lifespans, the Founding Fathers already would have viewed modern bench duration as an aberration. Thus this change is not only a wise move for future systemic stability (for BOTH parties, since long-term most parties still only expect to win only a little more than half the time) but also perfectly in keeping with precedent and, more controversially but probably correctly, the Framers' intent.

While I agree that it's not good for justices to be serving at 100, the reforms would increase politicization compared to the status quo.