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Notes -
We were in the same spot a few years ago though?
I think Stable Diffusion's public release in August 2022 marks the time when we reached "dead end beyond generating good pictures" - before that, AI being able to generate good pictures was either very very niche knowledge or just not considered true. That's not even 2 years ago. I believe ChatGPT 3.5 also came out publicly in 2022, though earlier in the year, so a little over 2 years ago, and that probably marked when we reached "dead end beyond helping write code." I think it's arguable that the roughly 2 years since those periods haven't been revolutionary, but I think it's inarguable that lots of progress has happened in those 2 years, and in any case, 2 years is a rather short period of time, probably the lower bound of what is considered "a few years."
We've now got pretty good video generation.
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