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Notes -
I'm not sure if it's a stag hunt (I'll admit needing to look this up) considering AI development (so far) has not been a particularly communal process. As far as I know, China's and the US' AI models haven't shared code/development information and from the way chip stocks are down this morning, the segregation between the two major power players is not a cooperative model.
The reasons aren't the same, but the payoffs are (with rabbit being "build Skynet" and stag being "don't"). Party A has a preference order of "nobody builds" > "A builds and nobody else does" > "everyone builds" > "others build but A doesn't". This is the Stag Hunt matrix, with two Nash equilibria ("all stag" and "all rabbit").
That makes sense, I got confused because I was focused on the 'stag hunt' scenario having cooperative actors while 'prisoners dilemma' has competitive actors when the actual focus is on the number of stable Nash equilibria per scenario.
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It's stag hunt where "Don't build Skynet" is playing co-operate.
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