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Transnational Thursday for July 4, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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As long as the cordon holds and the parties outside the cordon don't just win outright, parties outside the cordon gaining ground will force bigger and bigger coalitions to retain a majority, involving stranger bedfellows that are still inside the cordon (usually socialists and SJ radicals, because the cordon doesn't apply to them).

On what I imagine you see as the plus side, this tends to feed the parties outside the cordon, because conservative voters get pissed off about the within-cordon conservative parties obviously betraying them and start voting outside the cordon, which of course just feeds on itself. The obvious endpoints for this process look like "cordon is abandoned in order to stem the tide", "cordon is overwhelmed by absolute majority" or "all rightist parties consumed by outside-cordon, but this is less than a majority and socialists/SJers have power for a long while".