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PaperclipPerfector  4mo ago (text post)   28520 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of June 24, 2024

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What about compared to cis women?

3,653 female murder victims in 2022, from a population of 168 million. If we assume that figure includes the four trans men mentioned in comment above, there were 3,649 cis female murder victims in 2022, working out at 2.17 murders/100k of population.

To summarize:

  • An American cis man is just under three times more likely to be murdered than an American trans person.
  • An American trans person is about 20% more likely to be murdered than an American cis woman.
  • An American trans woman (5.39 murders/100k) is nearly nine times more likely to be murdered than an American trans man (0.61 murders/100k).*

Or in the form of ranking in descending order of risk of murder:

  1. Cis man (7.63/100k)
  2. Trans woman (5.39/100k)
  3. Cis woman (2.17/100k)
  4. Trans man (0.61/100k)

I have little reason to doubt that the hysterical caterwauling about how trans people of colour** are more likely to be murdered than white trans people is empirically true. I assume that in the trans community, murder rates by race/ethnicity follow the same trends as in the general population, for much the same reasons.

*The report from the Williams Institute says that "Of the 1.3 million adults who identify as transgender, 38.5% (515,200) are transgender women, 35.9% (480,000) are transgender men, and 25.6% (341,800) reported they are gender nonconforming." - annoying that they can't just list sex somewhere to make my job easier. I assumed that the GNC people were fifty-fifty male and female (which is obviously an assumption on my part) and calculated the murder rates accordingly, under the assumption that the population of "trans women" includes all males who identify as trans or GNC. Thus, 37 murders from a population of 686,100 adult trans/GNC males = 5.39/100k.

**Excluding Asians, as these activists tend to do

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