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FtttG


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 13 13:37:36 UTC

https://firsttoilthenthegrave.substack.com/


				

User ID: 1175

FtttG


				
				
				

				
6 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 13 13:37:36 UTC

					
				

				

				

				

				

					

User ID: 1175

If you don't understand the difference between "X is a member of Y" and "thing that X does is because of Y membership" then you're not approaching in good faith.

I do understand the difference, which is why I specifically outlined in my comment (twice!) a plausible causal pathway by which trans identification (and, more specifically, participation in online trans communities) could lead to violent radicalisation: namely, the fact that these communities are rife with hateful, violent rhetoric and baseless doomsaying about the imminent trans genocide.

I consistently argue the exact opposite logic, that individuals should be treated as individuals and I do not believe in collective blame or group responsibility and that the large majority of basically every group is actually peaceful.

If you really believe this, it sure is funny that you made a top-level post about four instances of people expressing antisemitic opinions or making antisemetic jokes in order to mount an argument that the entire American conservative movement has an antisemitism/neo-Nazism problem. I mean, was the intended takeaway from that post really meant to be "these people said nasty things, and that's bad, and it reflects poorly on the specific individuals involved – but every other young conservative American should be treated as an individual and not subjected to collective blame or group responsibility"? Frankly, I don't believe that it was.

For reference, 77 million people voted for Trump in 2024, while the Harvard Gazette estimates that there are only 25 million trans/NB people in the entire world. So my sweeping generalisation is at worst only one-third as sweeping as yours.

Quite honestly, I don't think you believe that individuals should be treated as individuals and not be subjected to collective blame. I think you believe that members of your in-group should be treated as individuals. We have a term for this.

Well, this is exactly what I was complaining about. It's what Scott calls a "fighting a rearguard attack against the evidence", where whenever a member of a favoured community does something atrocious, we have to exhaustively dig through every single thing they ever said, wrote or posted about to find something to pin it on other than their membership in said community. And what particularly frustrates me is that you trotted out exactly the same line of reasoning one two three trans mass shootings ago, insisting that it the Annunciation Catholic shooter's participation in far-right neo-Nazi fora that radicalised him and that his gender identity was incidental to his violent implosion (even though he personally admitted that "gender... fucked up [his] head" and that he wished he'd never "experimented" with it).

Regardless of our respective opinions on gender ideology, I think we can all agree on the following:

  1. There are a lot of mentally disturbed, disaffected young men in the Anglosphere (and, as this shooting demonstrates, beyond it)
  2. As a consequence of their mental illness and social awkwardness, they tend to retreat into niche online spaces
  3. As a consequence of their participation in niche online spaces, these young men are disproportionately likely to end up identifying as trans
  4. This wouldn't be objectionable in and of itself, were it not for the fact that there's a lot of really dark messaging in trans spaces which actively revels in the glorification of violence

If three people in three different countries all participated in the same constellation of incel fora (or far-right fora, or blackpill fora) and went on to commit horrific acts of unpredictable, indiscriminate violence, I very much doubt you'd have any problem asserting that participating in an incel forum is a potential red flag for violent radicalisation. But when three people in three different countries participate in the same constellation of trans fora and go on to commit horrific acts of indiscriminate violence, you insist that there's nothing to see here, their trans identification had nothing to do with it, and one time this perpetrator liked a tweet containing a swastika in the background so CASE CLOSED. How many of these mass shootings will it take before you acknowledge there's a pattern here, that trans subreddits aren't just sweet little hugboxes where trans kids can feel like they belong but also, in many cases, hotbeds of hateful, violent rhetoric?

Why should we assume that trans identification is the chicken laying the terminally online asocial loser egg instead of the other way around, that terminally online asocial losers seek out communities that make them feel like they can change away from being losers?

This is precisely the causal pathway I support. As I said above (and as I already said to you in August of last year), terminally online asocial losers participating in online trans spaces would be unobjectionable were it not for the fact that there's a lot of really dark, violent messaging in trans spaces which is like catnip to the dangerously unhinged. Forum moderators, social media censors and governments have historically treated the people spewing violent rhetoric in trans spaces with kid gloves, when they would never tolerate it if expressed in incel fora or similar. It must stop, now.

School shooting in Turkïye claims nine lives.

By this point, you know the drill. Teenaged male, terminally online, obsessed with anime (to the point of preferring to be addressed by the name of his favourite anime character), idolises Elliot Rodger and the Columbine shooters, in a polyamorous LDR with two people he'd never met in person. According to his manifesto (because these fuckers always have manifestos – the second you create a Google Doc with the word "manifesto" in the title, Google should automatically red-flag your Google account), he thinks he's the intellectual superior of everyone around him, and decides to prove it by shooting up his local secondary school. Eight students killed, along with a teacher who died heroically shielding them. Shooter is pronounced dead at the scene.

And, in what by now has become a trope just as tiresomely predictable as any of the foregoing, the perpetrator likes to be referred to with the pronouns "she/they/it", making it at least the third mass shooting by a trans-identified male so far this year (and this one, like Tumbler Ridge, occurred outside the US, so we can't just blame it on the NRA and call it a day). Boy, that sure is an awful lot of heresy misinformation, isn't it Wikipedia? As I said recently, it infuriates me that the threat of incel-motivated mass violence is so relentlessly hyped up while trans-motivated violence is denied outright, even though the latter has surely claimed more lives this century than the former.

People often talk about the demise of the monoculture, how we've splintered into a hundred niche echo chambers and no new true household names have been minted since 2014. This is true up to a point, and yet untrue in another sense: being autistic and terminally online is its own monoculture. It's not like there's one culture for mentally disturbed gender-distressed teenaged boys in the US and another for mentally disturbed gender-distressed teenaged boys in Turkïye: from San Diego to Shanghai, this demographic has just the one culture, with its own argot, cultural practices and set of values. If you're depressed, have a hard time fitting in at school and your parents buy you a smartphone, sooner or later you'll end up speaking in the same voice and with the exact same set of fixations (anime, gender ideology, Columbine) as everyone else meeting that description. I'm so grateful not to have been born a decade later.

what kind of Irish is your grandad

That was pretty good, sending to my family group chat.

Bad Wolves wouldn't have been able to cover it in 2018, a cover which is better than the original

Sounds like Disturbed (derogatory)

we wouldn't have Linger

Fine, I'll kill her after the first album comes out but before the second album.

There's an Irish comedian called Shane Clifford who said that, if he could go back in time and kill one person, he wouldn't go for the obvious choice (Adolf Hitler) but rather a left-field choice: Leonard Cohen. Now, Clifford is a great admirer of Leonard Cohen, and loves his music, but if Clifford went back in time and smothered Cohen in his cradle, at least he'd never have to listen to a young busker butchering "Hallelujah" every time he walks down a pedestrianised street in the city centre.

Following the same reasoning, I think I might kill Dolores O'Riordan, lead singer of the Cranberries. A song she wrote for the band, "Zombie", was recently voted the greatest Irish song of all time, beating out such indisputable, timeless classics as "With or Without You" and "One" by U2, "The Boys are Back in Town" and "Dancing in the Moonlight" by Thin Lizzy, "Brown-Eyed Girl" by Van Morrison, "Fairytale of New York" by the Pogues among countless others. You simply cannot fathom how much I despise "Zombie", nor how omnipresent it is among buskers or acoustic guitar dickheads in tourist-trap bars. The song sounds like a fifteen-year-old who got a guitar and a Boss DS-1 for Christmas and, after a month's practising, attempted to write a grunge song. There's no groove to speak of, the lead guitar tone is shockingly thin and tinny for what I can only assume was a very expensive album to record, and O'Riordan's staccato vocal tics (grating at the best of times) reach their nadir in the chorus. Not only is it not the greatest Irish song ever, it's not even the greatest song by the Cranberries: "Dreams", for one, is obviously superior.

Yes, you're right. What I meant was that if you asked Phoebe how dissatisfied with her life she was immediately before the war in Iran, she would give the same answer as today.

Okay, fair. But if you were to list all the reasons O'Brien is dissatisfied with her life in descending order of importance, I'd be amazed if the war in Iran cracked the top 50, or even the top 100.

There is not a chance in hell that Phoebe O'Brien would say a major reason for her dissatisfaction with her life is a war that began six weeks ago.

Obligatory Thomas Sowell banger.

I really must read one of his books, every time someone shares one of his quotes on Substack or quotes him in an essay he comes off as incredibly sharp and perceptive.

I can understand how UK inflation might be exacerbated by Trump's tariffs from last year. I can understand how part of the reason she feels miserable and angry a lot of the time is because of social media algorithms which were designed by the companies who built them, which you could indirectly say is "problems caused by billionaires". But I'm at a loss as to how the problems of anyone living in the UK can be laid at the feet of policies enacted by Israel.

Over a decade ago, Scott cautioned people against using depression/suicide metrics as a proxy for how happy or functional a society is. Other than climate, the most obvious secular difference between Greece and Finland is hours of daylight, which is known to have a major impact on suicide rates. After Greenland, Finland reports the highest rates of seasonal affective disorder in the world, while Greece is twentieth.

OR an unconscious sign of romantic interest

God, I'd be thrilled if that was the case, but I'd be very surprised if it was.

This is why one of the CCP's screening questions for potential honeypots is "Do you enjoy the music of Taylor Swift?"

Note that Asian women (and men, to a lesser extent) tend to have naturally more neotenous facial features than Westerners anyway, as per the meme. My ex-girlfriend was Chinese and only one year younger than me, but invariably got asked for ID when buying beer, when both of us were in our late twenties. A few years ago I saw the film Decision to Leave which stars the Chinese actress Tang Wei. Based on this screengrab from the film's trailer, how old would you guess she was at the time of filming?

Forty-one.

This is definitely a big part of it. I've met plenty of Chinese women, and very few were overweight. If you're using Tinder as intended (judging people solely based on their appearances) and you're forced to choose between an overweight Irishwoman and an average or slim Chinese woman, that's kind of a no-brainer even if you don't have a thing for Asian women.

Yes. So I don't buy @Eetan's claim that warehouse workers and cashiers in the UK are both getting shafted.

I doubt it.

And neither are paid very much.

A warehouse worker makes £26k a year.

And are they spent on anything that benefits Phoebe in any way?

Yes, as outlined in the OP. Feel free to consult the most recent budget if you don't believe it.

who should she be angry at?

The people who design social media algorithms, chiefly.

It's bizarre that I recognised that quote without having to look it up, even though I've never gotten further than the first ~3 hours of Deus Ex.

rates of intermarriage are high enough that mixed race children will serve as reservoirs for whatever positive alleles you believe white people possess

Does intermarriage happen to any significant degree in the UK?

The UK's current TFR is 1.41

Pakistanis have far more children than the natives. I wonder if you disaggregate TFRs by ethnicity, are white Britons already significantly below replacement? Children of Men for the natives, but not for the migrants.

I agree with this, up to a point. There's some floor of attractiveness where no amount of enthusiasm will compensate for it.

Years ago I read an article breathlessly discussing how female Uber drivers make less money than male even when controlling for hours worked. Muh wage gap, institutional sexism etc.

What they didn't control for was the fact that female Uber drivers drive slower than male (because men have a vastly higher risk tolerance), resulting in fewer accidents but also fewer fares per hour.

Fucking hell. What dental work did you need done that cost 4k?