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I wish the tweet cited its sources because the data I can find does not seem to support this. Here is Gallup in 2021 and 2023. The total US number is up 1 percentage point (71 in 2023 vs 70 in 2021). Republicans are down about 6 percentage points (55 to 49) but Democrats (83 to 84) and independents (73 to 78) are up. The age groups are not quite comparable across these two polls but taking the lowest age group (18-29 in 2023, 18-34 in 2021) support for gay marriage has increased (84 to 89). Just eyeballing the age based changes I think they are more a composition effect of how the ranges have changed but none of them show a decline.
On the other hand a PRRI report from this year does show Gen Z being mildly less supportive of LGBT rights than millennials, though the still the second-most supportive generation.
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I would be hard pressed to answer this survey, because I believe that the Masterpiece Cakeshop lawsuits were determined correctly, but also that no business has a right to turn away an LGBT person from receiving the same service as everyone else.
I am pretty anti-LGBT, as that goes today. I don't believe that two members of the same sex can be married in the same sense of the word "marriage" as I use when I say my marriage, my parents', grandparents', or great grandparents' marriage. Homosexual marriage is just talking about a completely different thing that can't even accidentally turn into the referent I mean.
If I was a wedding photographer and someone wanted me to photograph a gay wedding, I would want the right to refuse based on I don't believe the two events are even similar. It would be the equivalent of if I were a professional photographer that specialized in Christian First Communions, Confirmations, and Baptisms, then refused to be hired to photograph a Satanic Mass desecrating those things. "But the government says they are both equivalent religious expressions!" I don't care.
I'm pretty pro-LGBT, as far as that would have gone in the 80s or earlier. People deserve healthcare, non-discrimination in the necessities of daily life, security in their homes and jobs. I believe homosexuality is largely due to forces outside people's control. Having those attractions is not a moral failure. All of these would have been radical a hundred years ago, now they are the bare minimum of decency that only the smallest, most fringe groups would deny. The LGBT movement won there. Can they accept that victory and move on?
This is also my point of view, but I add to it that I'm skeptical most of the LGBT-identification among young people is the sort of homosexuality that is largely due to forces outside people's control. It seems pretty clear that social contagion can shift people's sexual orientation or at least move them to decreased revulsion towards sexual activity they once may have found unappealing. My impression is that there's a small subset -- maybe 1, 2% -- that is gay due to developmental or neonatal factors, with maybe some genetic predisposion factors in there that we just don't understand. But that's wildly different from the much higher rates not only of LGBT identification but LGBT activity among younger people. And it absolutely changes the state of the debate over things like gay marriage if only a very small part of the population is gay than if a much larger proportion is.
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