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This sounds similar to Jordan Peterson's statement on if you were born into Post WW1 Germany you probably would have been a nazi, or at least wouldn't have actively gone against the regime. But I think the circumstances between being a German citizen during WWII and a colonist in the 1770s are different enough that the same line of thinking doesn't apply.
Analysis of the American Revolution suggests 40% of whites were Patriots, 20% Loyalists, and the rest neutral. So just based on probability, one is twice as likely to have been for independence than side with the British government.
It's very likely at the moment of the Boston massacre the percentage of colonists that wanted independence was much lower, but it was exactly events such as the massacre that pushed many colonists to become Patriots.
I think part of what is muddying the discussion is that the people who are using these protest tactics (such as blocking the road) are advocating for the most insane things and it's hard to feel any sympathy for them. People would be more tolerant of these actions such as roadblocks if the protests were about things that mattered to the general population. Instead, these protestors are protesting first-world problems that only a rich, privileged society would have time to support a population that would care about such things. A poor person in Africa doesn't care about climate change, they would be rather happy to burn coal to generate electricity. A starving person doesn't care about animal rights and veganism.
Furthermore, these protest tactics have almost no actual risk to the protestors. Nobody protesting by blocking the streets is actually expecting that there is a chance a car will just plow through them. If they really had the conviction to die for a cause they should strap themselves onto railway tracks, because that would actually get some attention. When they do something dangerous, all the protestors start to panic as if dying wasn't a possibility of their action.
So these protestors masquerade as potential martyrs of what they claim to be the most pressing point of concern in the world, yet in reality they argue for things most people don't care about and pretend to engage in activity that would make them appear as if they are putting something on the line when they aren't by taking advantage of the goodwill of their fellow citizens, so in the end all they do is serve as a public nuisance. And when the state refuses to take action against this type of behavior, people will eventually lose all that goodwill and will be forced to take action by their own hands.
I mean you do have the extreme folks burning themselves alive still...or have we already forgotten that airforce guy? I agree that a lot of the protests are performative, or not relevant to the culture that the protesters occupy. I disagree that it is an illegitimated form of expression. It has been here from the start and even if it is a poor copy at least they are out there doing it. More than I can say for most of us.
Aaron Bushnell is already out of the public consciousness and his actions did not have the impact he was hoping for.
I will agree that he at least had the conviction to do something, as stupid as it was. Stupid in the sense that it did very little to push his supposed cause of freeing Palestine.
I drafted a post of around 3700 words about Bushnell the week he self-immolated looking into the history of self-immolation and its most prominent and impactful examples and how Bushnell's action relates to it but I never posted it because I never finished it as I got busy and now it's not a relevant event anymore. My prediction was that it would have little to no impact on the public discourse or opinion on Palestine and I think so far that prediction has held true. His actions, in the end, were just a minor net negative outcome to the world. Maybe we might see something happen. But probably not.
I'm actually in agreement with you that the willingness to fight for a cause is something many people lack, and if applied properly can be an admirable quality in a person. The difference between the colonists rebelling in the late 1700s versus a vegan protestor blocking the road on the streets is that the colonists were fighting for a cause a large portion of the population itself cared for, and the colonist was actually putting his life in danger by engaging in literal warfare (or standing up to actual British soldiers pointing guns in the case of the Boston massacre).
The goal of the protestors should be to get people to join your cause so you get the desired end result you want. If someone is going to be a public nuisance to protest for a cause, at least have it be a cause that people actually care about. Otherwise, all it does is make people hate the cause. It's worse than just screaming on the internet or even doing nothing, now you have people who actively go against the cause you want to advocate for. The protests over insignificant things in a manner detrimental to the public is why these discussions are happening in the first place. I think there are a lot of people who say they are against roadblocks as a form of protest but would be willing to condone or at least not be vocal in opposing it as a tactic if it was an issue of enough public importance and significance that it impacted them. But the point is that it's not, these protests in America have been about climate change, veganism, Palestine... all things that ultimately don't matter to your day-to-day American citizen.
Too many of these protests over insignificant things and society will decide it's enough and find a way to just stop them outright. I think I can agree with you that protests can serve a cause and push society in a better direction... but it needs to be used for things that people care about, and in a manner that impacts the people that can make actual decisions. Blocking roads is actively detrimental to a cause, if these people want to protest they should pick a more effective tactic.
Well said. I agree. I don't think that most modern protests are effective because they don't actually have the actual consent of the majority of the people and therefore they fail or turn into riots or disturbances. That being said, even protests that most people endorse will still quelled by the authorities. How do we know when we cross that line. Do we all just feel it?
Good question. I imagine it would work like any other movement in history.
There is some kind of event or series of events that can be used to propagandize and rally people to a cause. Hopefully, the people in charge have some sense to actually listen to the citizens and at least compromise, because if the peaceful channels to resolution cease to exist, the only other option if the situation is desperate enough is the violent one.
That's personally why I'm pro-Second Amendment because it gives the people more options in case the government goes tyrannical. America was founded by violent revolutionaries, after all. I hope it never comes to be but history has shown time and time again that tyrannical governments must be opposed with force.
Indeed. I do wonder what happens when a man with a gun becomes worthless in that math problem. It is coming soon. A robo dog will be capable of killing 40 armed men before they can blink inside of this decade.
That’s already true if the robodog is made of the right materials :)
But to conventionally kill multiple men—or to do so without damaging everything in between them, too—is a good bit harder. I don’t think we pull it off within the decade.
robo-dog, with a miniaturized, water-cooled 9mm Para chaingun to eliminate jams and stoppages, mounted on a turret? Tether it to a vehicle if batteries are the problem, and have a remote human hold down a button to allow or deny fire if you're iffy on the targeting code. What part of that isn't currently available off-the-shelf?
That might work for 40 men in a line. I wouldn’t bet on it if they were maneuvering, in cover, or shooting back. We are getting to the point where targeting software will allow engaging infantry, sure. It’s the hardware that I would expect to limit us.
Acquisition isn’t enough. You need something that can slew the weapon over, fire, confirm the kill, and proceed. Even at the >70°/s traverse rates achieved by shipboard CIWS, that’s not a small task. Every pound you spend on servos and sensors to make it happen is one you have to haul around on your robot. Every cubic foot makes you a slightly bigger target for small arms or close support.
I think the hardware to engage multiple targets in quick succession starts to look less like a robo dog and more like an APC or tank. Which are famous for not coping with infantry in knife range. Or air strikes, for that matter.
As an aside, is there a particular justification for a 9mm chaingun? I don’t think I’ve heard of one before, and I wonder if there’s a mechanical reason. A casual search shows one company, Freedom Ordnance, which seems to really enjoy making belt-fed guns. Plus a WWI prototype. I guess it’s possible! If I were designing a battlefield robot, though, I don’t think I’d go smaller than intermediate caliber.
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That's the popular claim, and it's probably true right now, much less a decade from now. The problems come from interpreting what this will actually mean for our society's development.
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