Recursive_Enlightenment
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User ID: 791
Recursive_Enlightenment
11hr ago
Could be, but then why wouldn't the military admit what it is doing?
Recursive_Enlightenment
11hr ago
Trump talked about the drones at a press conference. As best I remember, he refused to say if he had been briefed, said they couldn't be foreign, and said the US government should say what they are. Assuming Trump was briefed and is not being misleading this means the drones are likely controlled by the US government. The military has massive bases on which to test drones, so I'm guessing the drones are looking for something.
Recursive_Enlightenment
2d ago
I think a key difference with the trans issue and normal culture war issues, is that people have undergone difficult medical procedures in the expectation that the "civilized" parts of society will respect their choice of gender. That expectation would have been reasonable if Harris had won and the government continued to pressure employers and schools to punish anyone who didn't go along. Now, I have to imagine many fear being betrayed, not just by Trump voters, but by the realization that ambitious Democrats might abandon the progressive trans position to help win future elections.
Recursive_Enlightenment
3d ago
Elon might be able to get humans to Mars before someone creates a computer superintelligence, but it seems very unlikely he could create a self-sustaining Martian colony before superintelligence is created.
Recursive_Enlightenment
3d ago
Yes, but building multiple underground bunkers run on geothermal power that have mass food stockpiles would probably do more to increase humanity's survival chances than trying to colonize Mars would.
Recursive_Enlightenment
3d ago
What I don’t understand about Elon is his push for Mars colonization, given his views on AI. AI is either going to kill us or greatly accelerate technological progress. If it kills us, it will find us on Mars. If it accelerates technology, it will make getting to Mars much easier than it is today. Given the likely progress of AI over the next 15 years, why is Elon bothering with trying to colonize Mars in the near future?
Recursive_Enlightenment
4d ago
After his first presidential victory Trump was deemed illegitimate because he lost the popular vote, colluded with Russia to steal the election and fooled his voters into supporting him. This time everyone who voted for Trump clearly knew what they were voting for and Trump won by enough that it's hard to claim he did so via fraud. Also, it's very likely that the next Republican presidential nominee will be pro-MAGA. Finally claiming that Trump is less morally qualified to be president than Biden isn't plausible given the Hunter pardon.
Recursive_Enlightenment
6d ago
It's a bad idea unless you have enough evidence to overcome the Bayesian prior.
Recursive_Enlightenment
10d ago
I don't live near many rationalists, but I have had several phone conversations with Vasser, and have not observed this. He seems sane to me. We had normal (for nerds) conversations.
Recursive_Enlightenment
14d ago
I think you should make an exception for important breaking news where the top post is just something like "what's your opinion on X". I like coming here to see what peoples' immediate takes on such news is.
Recursive_Enlightenment
14d ago
Not clear that North Koreans will get to move into the vacuum. Could be that South Korea imports lots of young non-Korean immigrants to take care of their elderly and these immigrants end up taking over.
Recursive_Enlightenment
14d ago
Wonder if North Korea is thinking now would be the perfect time to attack.
Recursive_Enlightenment
15d ago
In a similar situation Trump would have pardoned his son before the election.
Recursive_Enlightenment
18d ago
But they were pretending to explain what happened.
Recursive_Enlightenment
18d ago
The Dems probably thought the Republicans were incapable of backtracking on abortion, but Trump pulled it off.
Recursive_Enlightenment
18d ago
Also, everyone instructed by their school or firm that they must at least pay lip service to the woke line on the trans issue.
Recursive_Enlightenment
18d ago
Counter-counterpoint, big donors respond to expectations of power. The more Trump is ahead, the better bet it is for the wealthy to give him money over Harris.
Recursive_Enlightenment
18d ago
As best I recall, they did not level any criticism at Harris which I assume meant they were not being honest or forthcoming.
Recursive_Enlightenment
21d ago
AI. Can relate to how students should be taught to write given AI, and what work will be available when AI gets even better and we get cheap robots.
Recursive_Enlightenment
26d ago
How about "I think I know your father, he is a police officer, right?"
Recursive_Enlightenment
26d ago
What's with old people is that if you have had a serious medical issue you lose all sense of embarrassment and shame concerning your naked body because you deal with doctors and nurses looking at it, and you stop caring about how you appear when naked in front of others.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1mo ago
The jury system is not good at determining medical causation.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1mo ago
You can't trust the US legal system to determine if a vaccine caused an injury.
Recursive_Enlightenment
1mo ago
But in a real free market, a condition of sale could be that you wave any legal liability for injury.
Is that true? There is a military base within 50 miles of where I live and we occasionally get loud military jets going overhead. We don't expect to be told the purpose of the flights and accept the inconvenience as part of the price of having a strong military
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