greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
User ID: 68
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
as if killing him will fix healthcare. Sharehodlers would have to agree to reducing profits, which would not happen. the stock would crash and he would be ousted and replaced by someone else.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
Biden pardoning SBF
a market exists for this https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-pardon-sbf-this-term
This would not be without precedent. Trump pardoned literal conmen for things way worse than Hunter had done and no one noticed or cared. The pardon is one of the few examples of unalloyed power of the president. No fan of Biden, but both sides abuse this.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
I also allowed the possibility that the shooter was motivated by factors that does not readily map to the left/right-spectrum, similar to Thomas Matthew Crooks. Crooks planned the shooting well enough to come within an inch of killing Trump. I would say that is demonstrative of competence, having scouted an opening and having a ladder ready
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
This this would imply that other companies are leaving money on the table out of generosity? There is always a tradeoff
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
agree. people are reading into or assigning a motive that fits their worldview.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
A solution is less preventive care, which does not save money despite the hype. how about a return to people only seeking healthcare when actually sick.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
Also needs to ditch the weapon
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
The leadership vacuum will be quickly filled, but there was nothing remarkable about his leadership
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
17d ago
The itinerary of these things are online or otherwise public or can be obtained with some phone calls.
These things are never as they seem. People way overestimate indignation as a motive, when in the vast majority of cases it's mental illness or nihilism. Maybe he saw an easy getaway and a chance at infamy. This was the case with the Trump shooter...the guy had no coherent worldview. It's interesting how he got away way like that making such a brazen kill like that and fleeing into the darkness of the city.
Freddie deBoer posted an article today that espoused that idea that “Cthulhu always swims left”, but flipped so that, effectively, “Cthulhu always swims right”. He doesn’t say those exact words, but that’s his general conclusion. In the aftermath of Harris’ defeat, many in the Democratic party are claiming that the party needs to move to the center after being too far left for many years. Americans mostly agree with this idea, but the remaining leftists like FdB are horrified at that conclusion. To people like them, Harris basically ran as a Republican, and so saying that the party needs to go even further right is anathema. If this all sounds utterly ridiculous… I wouldn’t disagree with you. Saying the country always moves right shares all the flaws as those saying it always moves left. I explicitly disagree with this piece, but I still think it serves as a useful example of what it’s like when the sides are reversed.
FDB although he makes many good points, like about IQ and education, does not really have a consistent worldview. I have seen him make the argument that the Democrats going too far to the left like on defund the police, or education policy, or social justice, also has hurt them, so...The dems lost because they didn't have good candidates, having put all their eggs in the Biden basket. They need seething closer to Obama or Bill Clinton , which Kamala didn't fit the bill.
“Cthulhu always swims right”.
This shows the limitation of memes, as only approximations of reality. I would say American society has moved right in some ways, leftward in others. It's not that useful of a framework for understanding society even by meme standards, imho
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
Big cars are a bigger threat to cities than self-driving cars. The heavy weight of these huge SUVs and trucks causes more wear and tear on roads, higher hood means more pedestrian accidents, longer length means fewer parking spaces and more congestion, bigger engine means more noise and pollution, etc. So many externalities. If everyone is driving cars that are 50% bigger it means it's like 1 extra car for for every 2 people.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
It was more than just being 6-12 months older. if anything the difference was most pronounced in 10-12th grade when the relative difference would have been smallest due to redshirting
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
Aubrey de Grey
It didn't help that he got MeToo'd. That tends to end careers pretty fast.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
Comparing it to spy actually handicaps it in favor of bitcoin. A more appropriate comparison controlling for volatility would be something like 2-3x SPY, like UPRO, which beats Bitcoin by a bigger margin. Controlling for volatility, Bitcoin has , as of Today, slightly greater returns and vastly more volatility which makes it worse .
But so far, yes, you're right that Bitcoin as of now is the better performing asset nominally speaking.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
Big Yud recently posted an interesting thought, The Poverty Equilibrium. The most brutal possible summary is: despite an insane amount of technological progress over the last centuries, some people still toil all day in miserable jobs to provide for some urgent need and it's not clear why this is happening and therefore it's not clear that another 100x increase in utility will make it any different.
For those who can afford to retire but choose to work, work is about social class, about control of one's time, about creating boundaries.
As for those who need to work to live, some jobs are impervious to automation or it's cheaper to hire workers than automate such jobs. Or that work provides more choices and higher standard of living than the alternative of post-scarcity subsistence living. Some peopel want nice thing like trucks and homes instead of living in government-subsidized cube farms.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
But that doesn't mean that, in aggregate they will increase lifespan by 0.2*60 = 12 years. In fact, it might be worse. They might interact with each other in negative ways.
It's certainly not additive.
For someone who is so smart it's sad how he fell off into the realm of health nonsense
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
With Mr Kurzweil the next big breakthrough is always in 10-30 years. LLMs and chat GPT are breakthroughs, but probably not what he and others like him have in mind of something that radically alters existence itself.
The guy is not doing well, judging by his appearance. Joe Rogan asked him his age and I was expecting to hear an answer that started with a 9 and was shocked when he said he was in his seventies. Judging by videos from just a few years ago, he has started to age really fast. His body was slumped over and he talked very slowly. The interview was painful to listen to. He's taking something like 60 pills a day to stay young and it doesn't seem to be helping.
Yeah and this is with plastic surgery and hair transplants , which it's evident compared to older pictures
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
Frankly speaking, I think it's a damning indictment of general rationality that we don't devote an appreciable fraction of GDP to solving it. If I was a billionaire, especially one staring death in the face, I'm not sure how much good my money would do me if I wasn't around to spend it. What good is anything if you're dead?
This is what many billionaires are doing. Almost every tech mogul is investing in some sort of life extension tech or start-up. So far nothing has panned out, but of course, success is something measured in decades, so it's possibly soon to tell
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
The other current respectable Anti-aging Guru Dr. David Sinclair, also looks younger than his actual age (55).
Which lends credence to the claim that his interventions improve SOMETHING.
youthfulness is along a spectrum so some people will look young by virtue of just falling along the favorable end of the curve of the distribution ,not because of a specific health protocol.
I think there is possibly an inverse correlation between IQ and youthfulness ,with less intelligent people looking younger for their age and smarter people tending to age faster even if they may also live longer (e.g. Tom Cruise vs James Woods). I observed this a lot in school, in which the smartest students tended to also look the oldest and were also taller.
Much of the progress is in making people who are 40-60 years old live to 80, or making 70-year-olds feel like 50-year-olds, but not much about making people who are 80 live to 100+, as the rate of decline/decay is too rapid. There seems to be a rapid shutdown mode where the body calls it quits and nothing can reverse this.
Bryan Johnson has become famous for his anti-aging "Blueprint" that includes hundreds of daily supplements and other quirky behaviour such as not eating after 11:30am. Johnson insists that, in his mid-40s, he has the mind and body of a man in his 20s. But looking at pictures, it's obvious that this isn't true. Rather than looking like a young man, he looks like an uncanny middle-aged man.
Agree I am not convinced either.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
If the audience is composed of midwits does it matter, and also, many people really do unironically like her--just not enough to win an election. No one is expecting her to lecture about physics.
Nick did tweet it multiple times, and it's a type of trolling where it's hard to know if it's trolling or not, because it's credibly something he could mean. It could mean a return to the patriarchy. Or as mentioned above a sexual joke. Or just for lolz. All this does is play into the hand of the opposing side's worst possible framing, yet for memetic value it wins.
This is why Nick is so smart. He waited until after the election, knowing nothing could be done; making one's own team look bad with sexism is not a concern anymore. He was originally skeptical of Trump and hated Vance, so he's hedging his bets, and then after Trump wins, instead of looking dumb or a traitor by not voting for him, he one-ups everyone else by being MORE extreme so his supporters forget that he didn't vote for Trump. had Trump lost he could have just blamed Trump being a Zionist shill. So both bases covered.
greyenlightenment
investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...
1mo ago
Stock market hits record high
It's easy to hit a record high when the last prior high was the day of the election. I believe though that Trump will make the world safer by acting as a deterrent by being perceived as less of a pushover compared to the Democrats. Trump introduces uncertainty into the diplomatic calculus. With Harris you know what you will get; less so with Trump.
agree. insanity does not mean what people often think it does . it does not mean a total lack of composure or forethought
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