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greyenlightenment

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greyenlightenment

investments: META/FBL, TSLA, TQQQ, TECL, MSFT ...

2 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 18:26:17 UTC

					
				

				

				

				

				

					

User ID: 68

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What has Trump got the power to achieve? He can bomb countries but struggles to achieve desired political results. Bombing Yemen hasn't stopped them

A tax cut to help the very companies that promote wokeness and censor its users on its platforms. Big handouts to AI companies. But I don't see much else happening legislatively. The real power is in the courts--things like judicial appointments, pardons. SCOTUS is where the real lasting change is. The 2024 ruling on affirmative action, for example. Stimulus and tax cuts tend to be popular.

Trump: No wait, just so you understand. How can we sustain and how is it sustainable that our country lost almost $2 trillion on trade in Biden years, in this last year. That's not—when you talk about a company. I had the head of Walmart yesterday, right in that seat. I had the head of Walmart. I had the head of Home Depot and the head of Target in my office. And I'll tell you what they think, they think what I'm doing is exactly right.

yeah, these big companies have the cashflow, pricing power, and market dominance to withstand tariffs, smaller competitors do not. this works to their advantage, especially after trump is gone and tariffs are reversed. Its not so much about tariffs being good economically, but that it hurts their competitors.

My hypothesis is Trump did not think the stock market would react as negatively as it did, so he has since backtracked.

JD Vance is competent, but these people are chosen for loyalty

In 2004 I watched some episodes of The Apprentice and he seemed sharper. Trump today is not quite there. Not quite dementia, but not at 100%. Trying to make a diagnosis based on a transcript or TV is always going to be unreliable. There is a reason the criteria for dementia are defined in a certain way. Specific criteria have to be met, like the failure to recall a small string of numbers, fewer than even at the low-end of an IQ test. A diagnosis of dementia entails a significantly reduced level of mental performance, not just sounding bad on TV.

I think also some of this is playing to the audience. Trump repeats himself and uses simple language to prevent being misunderstood.

I wish this site had a decent user block feature as twitter does.

Also, has he shared any of his stats (weight, height), before after, etc.? Anyone can give advice, but results are another matter

It is often, which was my point which you missed. I support the unconditional use of IQ tests for hiring/promotion, but it's wrong to say that testing is uncommon or that Griggs is preventing companies from using screening.

The idea of your body being 'tricked' into producing a flood of insulin by the apparent encountered sweetness seems like some kind of psychological intuition that some people may find useful, but that wasn't backed by evidence.

This is 99% of health/diet/nutrition research...just hunches without any evidence or only cherry-picked evidence. All macros produce an insulin spike. It's how digestion works. Otherwise, it would be type 1 diabetes. The same pleasure you get from candy or ice cream is no different from a fatty steak even though the macros are different.

isn't that just sugar?

In fairness, themotte readers are not average. The average IQ here is probably at least 120

Ouch. 4-pleb detected. The cool kids are over here getting a dozen 5s each and couldn't imagine getting a 4.

is this supposed to be a diss. Maybe I can send some passages of the math paper I am working on, and you can proofread them, as you've obviously way smarter. You must be so successful at life with that attitude.

If disparate impact is actually ended, expect every Walmart level job to have the equivalent of an IQ test.

This what the Wonderlic accomplishes (along with interview, which also is a screening mechanism), and according to people on reddit, it's very common and many companies use it. AFIK, the Wonderlic or any company that has used it has never been successfully sued for disparate impact on the grounds off the test itself. https://old.reddit.com/r/legaladvice/comments/x5qv4v/an_employer_gave_me_a_wonderlic_test_is_this/

What makes the Wonderlic particularly useful is it's not only very quick and cheap to proctor (no psychologist, unlike a full-scale IQ test), but it screens for both competence, like reading and math, and also functions as an IQ screen/filter on the high-end, due to rarity of top scores, which map to a bell curve and highly correlated with full-scale IQ.

Wonderlic is the test that literally lost Griggs.

The outcome is more nuanced. https://home.ubalt.edu/tmitch/645/articles/Cognitive%20AbilityTesting%20EF%20wonderlic.pdf

While the Griggs case is often mistakenly cited to call into question the lawfulness of cognitive ability testing, in reality the ruling on this case recognizes that these tests, as well as educational requirements and other hiring tools (e.g., criminal background checks, credit checks, experience requirements, physical requirements), are appropriate for assessing job applicants as long as certain criteria are met

My broader point being: The tests are widespread, as shown on reddit. Wonderlic and employers work together to ensure the tests are compliant and used appropriately, hence and there are a paucity of lawsuits, let alone successful ones, indicating it has been a success. I support unconditional use of tests for hiring, but it's wrong to say such testing does not exist or that a full-scale IQ test would be better, when the Wonderlic is by many measures better and already does that.

This means a pardon will be on the table as soon as it's an option. My complain is that the FBI and prosecutors have too much power overall whether it's sentence length or the scope of indictments, affecting both sides of the aisle, so this leads to more pardons and preemptive pardons. The abuse of pardons is really to lessen the the power of the judiciary. Compared to the rest of the developed world, the US hands out long sentences and indictments like candy, for all sort of things. The scary thing is how many files the FBI has on people who are never actually charged...it's immense.

You vote as hard as you can, and bless your heart, you even win! The schools don't care. The dude you voted for specifically tells the schools to tell the fucking machines to stop fucking. They simply can't stop.

Although the above post focuses on education, this is true broadly. Your vote does not matter that much. Politicians do not care about the secondary consequences of their policy (e.g. small businesses suffering due to tariffs or covid lockdowns). The only option is to become sufficiently wealthy/self-sufficient where it does not matter as much or you can move to better neighborhoods or choose private options, like private school. This is why FIRE is so popular. It's a way for people to make enough money to choose a better life for themselves and family.

I'm glad someone finally posted it, but I would not say that it's flown under the radar. TracingWoodgrains also saw it yesterday pretty quickly.

It all over the news as well. This is the most scrutinized president in history, and there is so much attention on social media and elsewhere. Almost nothing goes unnoticed.

It does not matter. A tiny packet has 1 gram, or about 3.5 calories. The sweetness is irrelevant. The rounding down is because it's less than the allowed threshold

Cooking spray doesn't have zero calories, but the reason people think that's true is essentially due to a loophole in nutrition labeling requirements. Essentially, the label says it's 0 calories because of the declared serving size. For any foods, if the declared serving size contains less than 5 kcal (calories), the manufacturer is permitted to round down to 0. This is exactly the reason why Tic-Tacs - probably the most well-known example of this - indicate that they have 0 calories per serving, even though technically each Tic-Tac mint averages about 2 calories. Since the serving size is <5 calories, it can be rounded down to 0.

https://old.reddit.com/r/nutrition/comments/xpsky0/how_does_cooking_spray_have_zero_calories/#:~:text=Since%20the%20serving%20size%20is,much%20any%20liquid%20cooking%20oil.

Tests and meritocratic hiring already exists. Look at top quant firms or top tech firms. You got to be whip-smart to get those jobs. They already have tests, like Wonderlic, white board/leetcode, or phone interviews (typically multiple gauntlets of testing). These tend to be 'on the fly', so harder to practice. Even crap jobs have huge screening and long applications.

The problem with any exam system is those are really prone to being gamed or people cramming for them. So you end up with a situation where lots of people score well on the exam, yet there isn't much useful information gleaned from this. This is common with the AP exams, where almost everyone gets 4s and 5s, so elite colleges have ignored them. Employers instead have learned to rely more on surprise-- hence phone interviews, Wonderlic (in which it tests for literacy/numeracy, but also acts like an IQ test, and you cannot really raise your score that much for it), on-the-spot coding or other challenges, brainteasers, and so on. or college degrees, which not only screen for competence, but also conscientiousness due to the large time investment.

Calories are the literal energy content. The subjective taste is irrelevant.

no specific source; mostly trial trial and error and PDFs for more advanced concepts. Wikipedia is surprisingly good for the basics

I decided to self-study math as well. Took a long time for me get to the point where i could answer difficult questions on mathoverflow/exchange. There are no shortage of practice problems on there, like integrals.

Splenda has calories, about the same as a sugar per gram. 3.5 calories per gram . but they are allowed to round it down to zero.

i was wondering what happened to jim. He owned jim . com which is worth a fortune. and then he stopped updating

I suspect this is due to comorbidities like diabetes, in which blindness is a risk factor

eating is so subconscious