sarker
ketman hetman
Suddenly I cannot remember the color of your eyes
Or the things we said as we stood together for the last time
User ID: 636
sarker
ketman hetman
12hr ago
The Lies of Locke Lamora. The writing smacks of the fedora, if you catch my drift - but the plot is engaging enough to keep me interested.
sarker
ketman hetman
13hr ago
Unfortunately the cream of the crop of the people reading SSC in 2012 or whatever was probably sharper than the smartest people who followed our chud forum across three (?) exoduses.
sarker
ketman hetman
14hr ago
That only reinforces my point - that people don't much care about this.
sarker
ketman hetman
15hr ago
The key thing is he’s not always buying after a 14% 1 month rally.
Sure. But he's buying at the trough between each ATH. "You can do better with perfect information if you trade more often" is not a rebuttal - in real life you don't have perfect information and having to make more perfect trades to beat DCA is harder than the outlined strategy.
Jane St literally recruited off of this forum so I assume there are some lingerers.
How? When?
Whatever that guy is selling is obviously false.
Should be easy to show why and score a black eye on Big Dollar Cost Averaging.
I think it’s because he’s also not selling the rip.
Timing both the peak and the trough is significantly harder than timing just the trough though.
Also noticed he doesn’t seem to pay interests to cash balances.
True, but he's looking at S&P valuation corrected for inflation so I think that's implicitly assuming that cash reserves keep their real value.
Jane St made 17b last quarter. This place is filled with those types.
I don't think even this august forum is "filled with" some of the smartest people in the country. Also note that Jane Street employees 3500 people working together to make that money rather than lone forum posters. The odds are... Not great, even if you are a genius.
sarker
ketman hetman
17hr ago
I'm going to wait for a correction
You could be waiting years
Nothing I like more for being bearish than hearing markets will never go down.
You must have a talent for hearing that, since that's not what the guy said!
It's extremely difficult to beat DCA by buying the dip.
sarker
ketman hetman
18hr ago
We still allowed the government to impose vaccination as the cost of leaving the house
I must have missed this part of the pandemic response.
sarker
ketman hetman
1d ago
Even the NYT is telling people not to worry unless they were aboard the Hondius, flew with someone who was aboard the Hondius, or live among rodents.
sarker
ketman hetman
1d ago
Chesterton is probably what you are looking for, though he's not pulpy.
sarker
ketman hetman
1d ago
I don't see a lot of object-level opinion overlap between darwin and magicalkittycat. One example: Darwin was constantly pushing idpol and I haven't seen that from magicalkittycat.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
I just want a braindead "roll the dice" shuffle. Yeah, it might result in some tracks playing twice in a surprisingly short window, but you can do a lot worse (repeating sequences of 20 tracks) and you can't easily do a lot better in my view.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
I find the "discover weekly" recommendations not bad, and "release radar " sometimes has something I want to hear. Totally agree that radio is dogshit though.
Until recently the shuffle algorithm was also totally fucked and would get stuck in loops - literally play e.g. 20 songs, then go back and play those same 20 again. I don't know what the fuck kind of shuffle algorithm could result in that, but it rinsed several tracks so bad I can't listen to them anymore.
Now they are trying to push Spotify as a video platform so sometimes I open the app and see some ridiculous TDS thumbnail. I'd probably jump ship if there was another platform with good music recommendation algorithms. I don't know what the eight thousand Spotify employees are doing all day, but I'm not sure it's making my life better.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
Among ten thousand dimensions of the latent space, there's always one along which the user can be glazed.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
A sufficiently advanced intelligence can glaze without direct sycophancy.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
It's remarkable that he somehow didn't mention that the transients were almost entirely in patches of the sky corresponding to areas outside of earth's shadow at geostationary orbit at a crazy level of significance. That is sufficient to completely dismiss any discussion of plate contamination as far as I can see.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
Wow, an LLM told you you had unique and discerning taste? Incredible!
I had Claude write a simple set of scripts to interact with my Spotify library (fetch playlists, create playlists, look for songs) and set up a directory for it to keep track of different musical threads I asked it to help me explore. It updates files in the directories with my feedback on each playlist and creates a new one with the next batch of recommendations. The files let it maintain state and focus on particular themes and expand the "frontier" in directions I'm interested in. I've had some success with this setup.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
I also sometimes look at similar-artist tools to find new bands from obscure gems I find.
I've had a bit of luck using the Spotify API for this. Any other good sources for connections like this?
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
cleaning and correcting metadata is a neverending labour :(
I've had a lot of success fetching data from musicbrainz with something like https://beets.io/.
I have a script to trawl the youtube API for long playlists with certain criteria that indicate curation of obscure music; when I find those I rabbit-hole down them hunting for gold. I am sometimes active on Soundcloud/Bandcamp and make connections with artists there. When I find a great obscure single, I rabbithole the artist and their label/connections to find more.
I guess you are mostly ripping from YouTube/downloading from Bandcamp and SoundCloud then? What kind of criteria do you use to find playlists?
I've found that as I've gotten older I've had less time to explore new music. When do you find time to listen to new tracks?
11:49:31 I Think In a Minute or So I'll Explode by Flashbulb
It's by The Flashbulb. Downvoted and reported to the RIAA tip line.
What's your process for discovering and acquiring music?
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
The clashing, sometimes (often) overtly ugly nature of a lot of visual art produced over the last century is often more interesting.
I find myself getting bored of contemporary art much faster, when I visit museums, than I get bored of classical art. It's not like you can't be bored by ugliness.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
I think you're excessively negative on mainstream science in this case. The VASCO survey people put out a study of pre-Sputnik glints around geostationary orbit. These are respected scientists and it's a finding that is, uh, hard to explain without invoking aliens.
sarker
ketman hetman
2d ago
The more classical, traditional way is that the elite should help civilize the masses, moderate their excesses, keep them in check, set them good examples and bring out the better side of them.
The idea that the elites need to make the masses miserable "to spark the activist fire in their hearts" (presumably against the elites) borders on parody.
sarker
ketman hetman
3d ago
Avocados have an association with urban liberals because they like to use it as a butter substitute to add fat to a sandwich or toast
It's not really a butter substitute, you wouldn't have that amount of butter on a sandwich unless you are @Tretiak. The appeal is the flavor and creamy texture.
sarker
ketman hetman
3d ago
How did you come to a place where you look at Angelus Novus as an "authentically beautiful" work? You imply that it's the result of transforming your sense of delight, possibly repeatedly. What did that look like?
It shouldn't be surprising that the types of people who dedicate their lives to becoming artists or art critics would also tend to converge on certain idiosyncratic aesthetic tastes, naturally and of their own accord, due to whatever shared underlying psychological factors drove them into art in the first place.
This seems to prove too much given how wildly the aesthetic tastes of those people have shifted over the past one thousand years.
This isn't true - he's buying at the bottom between every pair of ATHs.
The point isn't that this is the best you can do with perfect information - the point is that even if you time each trough perfectly you still usually lose to DCA. More complicated strategies can beat DCA, but they are even harder to get right.
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