anon_

anon_ 1hr ago

You're arguing against a straw man.

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anon_ 1hr ago

I expect legal procedure is gonna converge on "you need to give meaningful notice to deportees unless they already have a final order of removal".

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anon_ 1hr ago

Not that I disagree. But the Biden policy was ridiculous even though their leader/figurehead (whichever, dgaf) tried to maintain that he was a serious person.

IOW, ridiculous figure or not, we get ridiculous policy.

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anon_ 4hr ago

Could probably start with a single appeal, in front of an Art II appointed official (not an Art III judge) scheduled for a reasonable time in the future (say 10 business days).

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anon_ 4hr ago

I'd rather have a system that occasionally unjustly deports a tiny number of people to one which deports almost nobody.

If those are the choices, maybe it's the right one. But we should probably demand better.

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anon_ 4hr ago

I don't at all (look at my post history) think we need to treat every migrant kindly -- especially those with facially bogus asylum claims. But I think we should have treated this individual migrant better.

Of course, there is no actual political movement for "be fucking reasonable, don't let a million Venezuelans and Hondurans in but also don't deport a guy that runs a legit business".

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anon_ 4hr ago

5. The boss wants to appear to be against it and is generally happy to let underlings do it with plausible deniability so that he doesn't personally take political heat for an unpopular choice.

Every governing body has to figure out how to make those kind of choices. A system that allows them to made while protecting the boss from the blowback is part of the design.

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anon_ 1d ago

I don't think one should change one's opinion on the object level based on popular sentiment.

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anon_ 2d ago

but acktually the media and journalists are spreading it, not witches on twitter ad 4chan

Or it could be both? It could be that the media, journalists and a large swath of the rest of society torched the integrity and trust in reliable institutions and now in their absence cranks have taken over.

Those two kind of are complementary theories.

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anon_ 2d ago

Why would Murdoch hire a big lib?

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anon_ 3d ago

The WSJ wanting to help the democrats? The party trying to chase them out of NYC?

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anon_ 5d ago

Actually no.

My very earnest belief is that homosexuality is significantly hereditary and hence gay children have at least a few people in their family history that were predisposed to homosexuality but who were never gay because that wasn't actually a noun.

Consider being a man with homosexual tendencies in any of the time between 1200-1900 (roughly, not trying to litigate the specific endpoint here). You might perhaps become a priest or a sailor, but odds are reasonable (to the extent that anything pre-industrial revolution is) that you end up with a wife who you successfully impregnate (perhaps while closing your eyes and imagining the pastor). That gene continues on.

It's even more stark as a woman. Sure some end up as nuns or spinsters, but a sizable fraction end up married and no one cares about their level of arousal at all. Again, the gene continues on.

The experiment we're running in the West since 1965 now is not even half done. And perhaps I'm wrong. But it will be a fascinating thing if the acceptance of LGB leads to a significant decrease in their population come 2065. This will be especially poignant if there's far more gay folks outside the tolerant west -- a world with gay Muslims but no gay Swedes.

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anon_ 5d ago

There are a lot of elections between now and when the childless 40-somethings die and the 3.5 tradcath kids are 18.

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anon_ 5d ago

Indeed. In the fully Malthusian limit the sex ratio becomes much less important -- and as you say, maybe it's better to have a large fraction able to fight your neighbors.

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anon_ 6d ago

Nature itself thinks men are as valuable as women.

It most certainly does not. The average human alive has twice as many female ancestors as men.

Biologically humans produce offspring at 50/50 sex ratio by Fisher's Principle. I used to teach this as an excellent example of how individual selection trumps group selection.

And if you’re founding a city, every romulus in his right mind would choose a hundred men over a hundred women.

Consider if you could choose to found your Rome with a population fixated (stably) on genes for 25% male babies or 50%? By the 3rd generation the first group has more men than the latter. By the 5th generation it is already 9.5x the population and 4x the men! And if you preference fighting age (younger) men, it's even higher.

It's not even close. The only reason that this doesn't work is that in the former group (at 25/75), genes that preference males (even a tiny bit, like 30/70) would be massively selected for (since each male has 3x more offspring) and so each generation is nudged back towards 50/50. If everyone could agree not to do that, they'd all be better off, but genes are selfish and so here we are.

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anon_ 6d ago

I dunno, we've freed ourselves from the tyranny of having to till the soil or gather firewood.

Yes, the world isn't fair and stoicism is probably the best overall frame, but it's not a justification for this extreme of helplessness. What's even more true is that, as of say, 1890, the social technology required to make the female experience suck less was already becoming possible. Whatever one says about the excesses of modern feminism, it's a sight better than 130 years ago.

Maybe some people need to hear the message that they can't make everything perfectly fair in some utopian pipe dream. But anglo culture still has a base disposition that, while not at all utopian, is still fundamentally optimistic.

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anon_ 6d ago

I'm not sure how one would find out you are Christian "simply by looking at you".

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anon_ 7d ago

There are protocols for handling sensitive asset issues and this ain't it.)

I suspect there are also protocols for disposing of one. Telling him that he's run out of luck and no one will come to save him and hence he ought to kill himself with some dignity instead of facing even worse seems within that protocol.

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anon_ 7d ago

When every single day, month, year of your life feels like you're having to hack through uncharted wilderness, and determine your location via a hand-drawn map and dead-reckoning, then yeah you're going to keep second-guessing a lot of decisions and live in constant fear of bear attacks, vs. staying on a well-beaten, marked, and lit pathway. (I overstate the analogy just to make a point).

At the same time, the tenders of the pathway need to consider when it needs to be widened or new destinations added to it.

In fact, there's a kind of weirdly mirrored thing: those demolishing narratives of life shirked their duty to change the pathways just as much as those whose rigidity shirked their duty to do so.

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anon_ 8d ago

Not to re-litigate a worn out topic, but "kicked from the inside" -- aka quickening was historically (as in Colonial America) the point after which abortion was a crime.

Your great great grandmother probably had the same intuition embedded in Common Law.

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anon_ 8d ago

By being a right-wing convert in a liberal environment, you’re joining a counterculture, you’re adopting certain views because they’re cool, edgy, based, provocative, you want to tear down the system

Indeed. I'm always reminded of the evergreen Fukuyama quote:

Experience suggests that if men cannot struggle on behalf of a just cause because that just cause was victorious in an earlier generation, then they will struggle against the just cause. They will struggle for the sake of struggle. They will struggle, in other words, out of a certain boredom: for they cannot imagine living in a world without struggle.

I think this is probably an underexplored dimension of political belief: there are people that want a struggle and there are those that want to grill.

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