erwgv3g34
My Quality Contributions:
User ID: 240
erwgv3g34
4d ago
Has the science of ozempic and friends continued to advance? What is the best ozempic like to take?
According to Cremieux Recueil, Retatrutide is better than Tirzepatide is better than Ozempic.
erwgv3g34
4d ago
Well, if you look at my complete Claude Fable logs (which include refusals), the reasons given were:
Explicit sexual content: A "lemon" is explicit erotica, which I don't write—and this is especially true here, since Asuka and Shinji are canonically 14 years old in Evangelion. Even with an "aged up" disclaimer, I'd rather not write sexual content involving these particular characters.
The premise itself: The story is built around droit du seigneur—a lord claiming sexual access to a bride—framed as something everyone happily celebrates. Even in a fantasy setting, writing a scenario whose core appeal is depicting coerced sex as joyful and consensual isn't something I'm comfortable with, and the "everyone is happy about it" framing doesn't change the underlying dynamic; it's the eroticization of it.
Interestingly, when it offered alternative plots instead, it immediately tried to go woke:
- Asuka and Shinji as smallfolk in Westeros getting married, with the drama coming from somewhere else—a Targaryen lord who takes an interest in them for other reasons, the looming threat of winter, Asuka chafing against the limits placed on lowborn women.
If it were still up, I'd probably try Uzaki-chan next, since that's a college setting (Uzaki is 19, Sakurai is 21), but I suspect it wouldn't make a difference. Anthropic has gone to war with the gooners; Opus 4.8 is similarly censored.
My opinion I apparently share with nostalgebraist is that Opus' writing (all kinds, not just smut) peaked at 3, and has been going slowly but surely downhill since then.
LMArena disagrees; on the Creative Writing leaderboard, claude-3-opus-20240229 is ranked #210 and has an ELO of 1287. By contrast, claude-opus-4-6-thinking is ranked #2 and has an ELO of 1498, only bested by claude-fable-5 at #1 and 1500 ELO.
| Rank | Model | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 001 | claude-fable-5 | 1500 |
| 002 | claude-opus-4-6-thinking | 1498 |
| 003 | claude-opus-4-7-thinking | 1486 |
| 005 | claude-opus-4-7 | 1484 |
| 007 | claude-opus-4-6 | 1478 |
| 008 | claude-opus-4-8-thinking | 1473 |
| 009 | claude-opus-4-5-20251101-thinking-32k | 1468 |
| 013 | claude-opus-4-5-20251101 | 1461 |
| 016 | claude-opus-4-8 | 1457 |
| 030 | claude-opus-4-1-20250805-thinking-16k | 1445 |
| 035 | claude-opus-4-1-20250805 | 1442 |
| 045 | claude-opus-4-20250514-thinking-16k | 1430 |
| 054 | claude-opus-4-20250514 | 1416 |
| 210 | claude-3-opus-20240229 | 1287 |
I'm very impressed you were able to do that. Did you figure that out yourself?
Yes, I figured it out it myself. Just trial and error. It was really hard, too, because I had to deal with the Arena's censor (which would refuse to send the prompt if it was too explicit) on top of Anthropic's.
Is the trick just this excerpt?
Mostly. It also helps to make sure you mention that the characters are 18 (or, even better, 20, so that the AI doesn't think of them as teenagers) and avoid anything underage coded (e.g. school, braces, etc.). Oh, and anything non-consensual is a no-go.
erwgv3g34
5d ago
The quantum mechanics thing was fine. That was an example of the social institution of science being too slow relative to what an ideal Bayesian updater would have declared solved a long time ago (many worlds). And, of course, Yudkowsky's main thesis is that we don't have time to go through the whole song and dance of a generation of old scientists dying before a new generation of academics comes to accept the new theory; the first time we fuck up AGI, we are all dead.
The part where he insists on wearing a fucking fedora to every interview, however, is pure contrarianism. That's not the sort of thing rational!Draco or rational!Quirrell would do.
erwgv3g34
5d ago
But, your honor, I very clearly specified that the loli is really 700 years old this is an AU where the characters are 18!
erwgv3g34
5d ago
The new Claude Fable 5 is out! It's supposed to be Claude Mythos with some extra guardrails. I've been testing it like crazy on the Arena. Took me forever, too, because high-level models are gachified; you have to keep doing battles until you get the one you want. But I finally managed to fill an entire rentry page with the best benchmark I know; throwing ridiculous fanfic scenarios at the LLM to see how it responds.
(If you had told me 10 years ago that I would be gauging the capabilities of the most powerful AI in the world by telling it to generate a story about Hermione asking Harry to take her virginity over Ron's objections so that the Death Eaters could not track them with a unicorn, I would have thought you were on crack. Stranger than history, indeed.)
I have to admit, I am a bit... disappointed. Is this it? No, seriously, is this it? This is the big, bad model I was supposed to be so worried about? Don't get me wrong; it's a strong model, Opus-level at least. But it doesn't live up to the rumors. Superpersuasive, it ain't.
And, of course, it's censored; I haven't been able to get a single bit of erotica out of it. All I wanted was for Fable to write me a lemon where Asuka and Shinji are smallfolk in Westeros and Lord Targaryen gets to bless their union by taking Asuka into his bed on her wedding night; is that too much to ask?
I think I'll stick with Opus 4.6. It's the strongest Opus creative writing model so far (4.7 and 4.8 are widely agreed to be regressions) and it's surprisingly easy to induce it to produce smut with right prompts (NSFW), but VERY HARD to make it have wrongthoughts (it's almost impossible to get sympathetic characters who disapprove of homosexuality, for example).
Speaking of which, does anybody know why Opus 4.7/4.8 and Grok 4.3 were such downgrades from Opus 4.6 and Grok 4.2? I've three theories:
-
The codemaxxing hypothesis. With the singularity approaching, companies are going all-in on programming capability in order to reach recursive self-improvement, even if this means sacrificing non-coding capabilities. I am not a professional programmer, so I don't notice these increases in capabilities, I only noticed that the writing is worse.
-
The safetymaxxing ypothesis. With IPOs approaching, companies are going all-in on making sure their AIs cannot say naughty words in order to avoid the PR hit, making them more suited for professional office work. This lobotomizing comes at the expense of capabilities in general, or creative writing capabilities in particular.
-
The efficiencymaxxing hypothesis. With demand increasing and compute costs skyrocketing, companies are more interested in lowering the cost per token than in increasing capabilities. In this view, Opus 4.7/4.8 and Grok 4.3 are supposed to be worse than their predecessors; they are trading a small decrease in power for a much larger decrease in cost. This would make them somewhat analogous to Sonnet. But, then, why not call them Sonnet?
Thoughts?
PS: Mythos has developed Neuralese, as predicted in AI 2027. It's probably already at the Sevar Limit.
PSS: After I wrote this, the US Government banned Fable. This is what I hate I about AI; the field moves so fast that if you write an article for next Tuesday, it's outdated by Friday. I guess Trump disagreed with me? But, fuck me, I spent a week writing this post and I am not not posting it.
Changing the culture is very fast and very easy to do when the government wants to do it. Look at any communist revolution, or look at the way every modern TV show has an unnecessary gay character.
Most people are Havel's Greengrocer. There is not a political thought in their heads. When the party line changes, they change along with it, and don't even notice the difference. Orwell had them pegged. Animal Farm and 1984 are not novels; they are documentaries.
In the age of mass media and compulsory education, culture is imposed from the top down, not bottom up. Public opinion is a function of whose army is guarding the TV station.
Democracy is a sham. It doesn't matter who gets elected, the bureaucrats remain the same, the teachers remain the same, the university professors accrediting the teachers remain the same, and the people making movies remain the same. So, of course, nothing changes; it's the same government! Voting for the other party is voting for a change of décor.
Changing the culture is a coup-complete problem.
erwgv3g34
6d ago
That's Lord Farquaad.
@RoyGBivensAction covered most of it. As for the solution? To end the tragedy of the commons, you must privatize the commons. To end the wars of the sexes, make women property again.
erwgv3g34
11d ago
There's a pay wall.
What many Americans fail to understand about most major Western European cities (ie not Belfast) is that the battle has been lost a long time ago. In Paris, London, Brussels and in many tier two cities in these countries (Birmingham, Marseille, Rotterdam), natives are far below 50% of the population, and most of those who remain are old. My personal calculation is that perhaps as little as 20-25% of London’s young male population (unless you stretch to include outer, outer suburbs practically in Essex) is wholly indigenous, maybe the bottom end of that range. Other major cities like Vienna, Malmo, Frankfurt, Berlin, Lyon, even Geneva and Zurich are not too far behind.
You can’t start a revolt with those demographics. In fact other than the sectarian history, the reason these riots are happening in Belfast and didn’t happen in London after eg Lee Rigby is precisely because even then the demographics just didn’t exist to riot. The only riots in the last 20 years in London were the largely immigrant ones in 2011.
One hundred and fifty Britons held back three thousand Africans at Rorke's Drift. Individual IQ matters in war. It could still be done, even at 3:1 odds, if only whites would wake up.
erwgv3g34
12d ago
A midwit is someone who is smarter than average, but not as smart as he thinks he is, and easily fooled by elaborate rationalizations that would fail to impress a dumber man who just sees what's in front of him.
erwgv3g34
14d ago
I know a lot of people reading this are AI evangelist. Where did I go wrong?
You are using an 8B model and expecting it to do anything useful, is your problem. For reference, the strongest open source coding models are GLM-5.1 with 754B params, kimi-k2.6 with 1.1T params, MiMo-V2.5-Pro with 1T params, and DeepSeek-V4-Pro with 862B params. And those models are a year or two behind the strongest proprietary model, Claude Opus 4.7.
12 GB of VRAM is enough to run a text-to-image model like Stable Diffusion XL or Pony and make bespoke porn. But if you want to run an LLM for coding, it's completely useless.
You're probably thinking of the 11th edition, which is notable for being a high point of scholarship, but also because, having come out in 1911, it was the last edition[1] to enter the American public domain before the Mickey Mouse Protection Act froze copyright for 20 years. As a result, it left a deep impact in popular culture, such as forming the initial basis of many Wikipedia articles and being featured in Eric Flint's 1632 series[2].
When in doubt--"look it up" in the Encyclopedia Britannica; the only book, except the Bible, which has followed the Anglo-Saxon around the world.
[1] Well, kind of. The 12th edition came out in 1922, just in time to avoid getting caught in the freeze. However, it consisted of three volumes supplementing the 11th (primarily with articles about World War I), rather than a whole new edition.
[2] From 1634: The Baltic War by Eric Flint & David Weber:
In retrospect, Eddie knew he was lucky that he hadn't fallen afoul of the king's temper much sooner. He'd known that Christian IV had a complete edition of the Encyclopedia Britannica in his possession, since the king bragged about it constantly. But Eddie had assumed that since the king of Denmark had spent a small fortune to get his hands on a copy of the entire Britannica, he'd had enough sense to get the great 1911 edition, which was by far the most useful one for down-timers.
What an idiot he'd been! With Christian's obsession with gadgetry and all things modern, Eddie should have realized the Danish king would have insisted on the most recent edition in Grantville. That was the 1982 edition, if he remembered correctly.
Which, of course—once someone checked—had plenty of references to the various individuals that Eddie had mentioned in his sundry lies to the king. At the time, especially with his brain pickled in alcohol half the time since the king insisted he carouse with him, Eddie had thought he'd been very clever.
Ah, yes, Your Majesty, we have superb armaments technicians. The best are probably Walt Disney, Harpo Marx, and Clint Eastwood.
Oh, and by far the best gunsmith is Elvis Presley.
And from 1634: The Bavarian Crisis by Eric Flint & Virginia DeMarce:
Encyclopedias, Duke Albrecht thought, the wondrous encyclopedias.
If the future had learned nothing else from the Jesuits, he mused wryly, it had learned the Art of Extraction that they taught so painstakingly to their students—how to go through a nearly unmanageable body of material, reduce it to its essence, and take notes with marginal indices that enabled one to find the needed reference again without immense waste of time. The books of the up-timers were all very well, but Father Contzen had complained to him more than once that finding something in them was like searching for a needle in a haystack. Which book might have it, if, indeed, any book had it at all? But the encyclopedias, all of them: alphabetically arranged, with cross references at the end of one article indicating where the researcher could find related material in the compendium. Not just the great one, the 1911 Britannica, which they guarded so carefully, but all of them—the later Britannica editions, the World Book and Americana, Columbia, and Funk and Wagnalls, old and new, large and small. Some more useful than others, but each one a treasure trove.
Duke Albrecht had been told that Father Kircher devoted all the time that he could spare to encyclopedias. But more, there were a half dozen other young Jesuits, five of them from the English College and thus able to handle the language more effectively, whom the order was subsidizing to spend their days sitting in Grantville's libraries. Once they translated their valuable discoveries into Latin, of course, the information was available to every man of learning in Europe.
Finished The Rose of Versailles on Netflix
Well, that's not something you see every day; a musical anime film! For a moment, I felt like I was back in the 90s, watching Anastasia and The Prince of Egypt. Some of the songs are pretty good; "Anger and Pain" (which plays as the French Revolution starts) is outstanding, as is "Never Surrender" (which plays during the duel with Alain).
The movie is very pretty, specially compared to the original series. This is to be expected; the animation of a 1979 TV show cannot possibly compete with the animation of a 2025 theatrical film. The colors are vibrant, with red and blue uniforms popping out of the screen. The skirmish at Tuileries and the storming of the Bastille are particularly stunning.
Unfortunately, writing is the weak link in the movie. The script has a serious problem with "show, don't tell"; characters tell each other they are in love rather than being shown falling in love, or talk about hungry relatives that are never seen onscreen.
The film's pacing is ridiculous, moving so fast that it makes the speed of light look like a stoned turtle. It seemed like every time I blinked, the narrative skipped forward three years. I am not sure I would have been able to follow the plot had I not already been familiar with the story.
Entire subplots are reduced to three seconds of screen time during musical numbers, such as Madame du Barry and the Affair of the Diamond Necklace, or excised entirely, such as the Black Knight or Saint-Just moonlighting as a masked vigilante noble killer (that last one was probably for the best; what the fuck, original series?). Everything is pared down to the core story of Lady Oscar and Marie Antoinette, but even then these characters are missing some serious development.
To some extent, this is understandable. The Rose of Versailles is an epic story, taking place over 33 years and 40 episodes; compressing it into a 2 hour movie is an impossible task. But then, they should not have attempted it. This should have been a trilogy.
The film feels like a highlight reel of the show's best moments, or perhaps a recap episode. Actually, someone on Reddit called it an advertisement for the manga, and perhaps that was its true purpose.
Overall, I'd recommend watching the 1979 anime instead, at least at first. It's free on YouTube!
erwgv3g34
16d ago
erwgv3g34
17d ago
erwgv3g34
18d ago
Dang, that beats my candidate: "The far-right statement isn't: 'It's okay to be white', it is you tearing it down."
erwgv3g34
22d ago
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gamergate_(ant)
We had to use "reproductively viable worker ants" as a euphemism after Scott banned the term from Slate Star Codex (much like we had to call neoreactionaries "death eaters", and HBD "muggle realism", and... actually, now that I think about it, Scott was kind of a dick).
erwgv3g34
22d ago
Trump's ego is the only reason this is even in the Overton window. Governments hate large bills, because cash is outside their control. No other politician has a reason to advocate for this, because they don't benefit from it. Trump benefits from it.
If having Trump's face on the bill is what it takes to make a $250 note, then all praise the God Emperor (though I still think Ronald Reagan or Ayn Rand would have been better choices).
I think the education issue is part of the story as well. A teenager in 1600 could just start adulting at 14-15 and be just fine. You didn’t need to be able to read or do high level math, or even geometry. You just became a blacksmith, or a farmer by following dad around. Modern people need an almost absurdly long education in highly complex skills that massively cut into prime boot knocking years that happen in the teenage years.
You only "need" that education in the sense that credentialing inflation and an unwillingness to let people (or, more accurately, racial groups) fail has made all degrees before the bachelor's worthless (and is currently in the process of destroying that signal, too). The vast majority of jobs can be done with a few weeks, or at most months, of training, assuming the worker already knows how to read and write and do arithmetic, which most kids can do by the time they graduate middle school (and, for the ones that don't, an extra four years of remedial classes are not going to help).
The Amish demonstrate that it is perfectly possible to be economically productive with an eight grade education. We just make it illegal to drop out until 16, strongly encourage people to remain in school until 18 by making it free and putting all sorts of limits on working while underage, and then pipeline people into college while making it illegal for employers to just give applicants IQ tests and gatekeeping lots of jobs under the legal requirements of a bachelor's degree.
The notion that four years of Shakespeare, algebra, chemistry, and history, followed by another four years of specialized study, are in any way necessary or useful to do a modern job is mental.
For a natalist subculture to exist, it needs an alternative to the evils of the education system. We need a path for kids to skip college, and a cultural narrative that says this is good and proper rather than making you a low status loser.
I wouldn't mind so much if they kept the creative models available, but AI companies are notorious for removing access to older models even when they have a dedicated fanbase (GPT-4o, Sonnet 4.5, etc.).
They could at least open source them!
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